Texas is of course the most important state for the republicans to win, in 2008 Mccain won by 11.8 points and in 2012 Romney`s margin of victory was 15.8 points.
Texas has a total of 38 electoral votes and has voted republican in every election since 1976, so it would be hard to bet against yet another republican victory here this year.
According to the average of the last polls Trump has a 7.6% advantage, well within the margin of error.
RealClearPolitics (August 8- September 11)
Donald Trump 43.3%
Hillary Clinton 35.7%
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