Trump vs Clinton Polls Michigan August 2016

Polls undertaken in the state of Michigan over the course of the last month show Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton with a healthy lead over Donald Trump.

According to the RealClearPolitics average, which takes into account the last 6 polls reliable polls in the state which were conducted between 5 July - 4 August the former First Lady and Secretary of State leads Trump by 6.6%.

RCP Average (5 July - 4 August)

Hillary Clinton  41.8%
Donald Trump  35.2%

It has been a difficult week for Donald Trump, who, having taken a brief lead following the RNC, has now been on a downward trend in the polls for the past 2 weeks.

Results Republican Primaries Tuesday March 8 2016

On Tuesday it was another very good night for republican frontrunner Donald Trump who triumphed in  the states of Mississippi, Michigan and Hawaii while Texas Senator Ted Cruz posted a win in Idaho. In the all important delegate count Trump now stands at 458, Cruz at 359, Rubio at 151 and Kasich 54.

We seem to be no closer to predicting whether or not Trump will reach the magic count of 1,237 and various strategies have been floated over the last few days of how to deny him the nomination should he not reach that number when the convention rolls around.

Keeping the remaining 3 adversaries to Trump in the race until the very end would be one possible way to deny him an outright majority, last week Mitt Romney hinted at the idea of Ohio Republicans Voting for Kasich and Florida Republicans voting for Rubio, tactical voting in order to lower Trump`s possibilities.

Should Trump win the delegate count by a significant margin but not reach 1,237 then denying him the nomination could risk fragmenting the party, it would be a massive gamble.