Indiana Republican Polls GOP April 27 2016 Trump, Cruz

Voters in the state of Indiana will finally have their opportunity to express their opinions over which republican primary candidate best represents their views when they go to the polls on May 3.

The state, which comes late in the primary process and would usually be of little importance, has now been brought to centre stage, given the delicate nature of the race.

There are a total of 57 delegates that will be on offer and the state adopts a winner-take-all approach to their allocation. Meaning that whoever wins will walk away with 100% of the delegates.

According to the latest RealClearPolitics Average (April 18-22) it is Donald Trump who is making the running in the state, although his lead is not as impressive as it has been in some states. The businessman is at 39.3% followed by Cruz 33% and Kasich 19.3%.

Should Trump be victorious here then he will certainly maintain his hopes of obtaining the 1,237 delegates alive.

New York Republican Poll March 31 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

A new Optimus poll taken in the state of New York shows that Donald Trump continues to dominate in the state. The survey taken between March 22-24 shows that Trump has 50% support, compared to 24% for Kasich and 16% for Cruz.

New York is seen as a vital state to win due to the fact that it awards 95 delegates and Trump will hope to make off with most or all of them in order to keep his hopes alive of reaching the 1,237 delegates he requires to win the Republican nomination.

A previous poll had shown Trump with an even bigger lead on 64%

Predictions Utah Republican GOP 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

The Utah Republican Presidential Caucus is swiftly approaching and 40 vital delegates are up for grabs. The question is, who will triumph in the state?

Not much polling has been done here but at the beginning of January a poll of 415 likely republican voters showed a four way split between Rubio 15%, Cruz 18%, Trump 17% and Carson 15%. After the withdrawal of Rubio and Carson from the race it is now likely to be a battle between Cruz and Trump although Kasich is likely to see his percentage rise from the 1% he was polling earlier in the year.

Ted Cruz should win the state rather easily as Mormon voters who consider themselves very religious tend to shy away from voting for Trump. Many commentators have noted this trend which could wreck any hopes the business mogul has for a victory here.

Illinois Poll Republican GOP March 11 2016

As the republican nomination process rolls along, one of the key states yet to go to the polls is Illinois where 69 delegates are available in a winner-take-all contest.

According to new polls conducted within the last week billionaire mogul Donald Trump has a healthy lead in the state which votes on March 15.

The RealClearPolitics Average shows Trump is in a strong position with 32.7% support, followed by Marco Rubio with 18.7%, Cruz with 17.7% and finally Kasich with 13.3%.

Should the polls turn out to be right then it would be an important step for Trump in his attempt to secure the 1,237 delegates he needs to win the nomination.

Florida Poll GOP March 10 2016 Trump, Cruz, Rubio, Kasich

Florida is seen as one of the key battlegrounds in the race for the republican nomination for President in 2016.

This year the closed primary will take place on March 15 and 99 delegates are up for grabs. The fact that the state is determined as winner-take-all only serves to further underscore its importance in the election process.

So, who is in the lead? Well, according to polls Donald Trump has a notable advantage over nearest rival Marco Rubio, who is a Senator in Florida.

The RealClearPolitics Average has Trump on 39.8% compared to Rubio on 25%, Cruz comes in third at 17.6% and Kasich last with 8.3%.

Should these numbers hold for Trump in the final days before voting, then he would sweep the state and take a big step towards the nomination.

Results Republican Primaries Tuesday March 8 2016

On Tuesday it was another very good night for republican frontrunner Donald Trump who triumphed in  the states of Mississippi, Michigan and Hawaii while Texas Senator Ted Cruz posted a win in Idaho. In the all important delegate count Trump now stands at 458, Cruz at 359, Rubio at 151 and Kasich 54.

We seem to be no closer to predicting whether or not Trump will reach the magic count of 1,237 and various strategies have been floated over the last few days of how to deny him the nomination should he not reach that number when the convention rolls around.

Keeping the remaining 3 adversaries to Trump in the race until the very end would be one possible way to deny him an outright majority, last week Mitt Romney hinted at the idea of Ohio Republicans Voting for Kasich and Florida Republicans voting for Rubio, tactical voting in order to lower Trump`s possibilities.

Should Trump win the delegate count by a significant margin but not reach 1,237 then denying him the nomination could risk fragmenting the party, it would be a massive gamble.

Super Tuesday Republican Results March 1 2016

The big moment has finally arrived, Super Tuesday is the day in which the contests on both the Republican and Democrat sides to secure the nomination of the party really starts to be decided.

The clear front runners are Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, at least according to polls. Trump leads in 8 of twelve states and if his numbers hold firm, then he will take a big step towards becoming the nominee. The interesting thing is that in certain states no reliable polling has been done for many months, so it remains to be seen how recent events may have effected public opinion in these areas.

On the democratic side former First Lady and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is in the ascendancy having vanquished Bernie Sanders in Nevada and South Carolina. Sanders who describes himself as a "Democratic Socialist" will have to put in a good showing in order to wrestle the momentum away from Clinton who is looking ever more like the democratic candidate in 2016.

Republican Polls Feb 28 2016

There are just two days to go until Super Tuesday, the day in which 12 states will have to make their choice for who they want to represent them as the republican nominee in 2016.

The latest polls show businessman Donald Trump leading in most areas although a recent poll shows Ted Cruz with a big lead in Texas.

Latest Republican Polls, Super Tuesday States


Alabama
Delegates: 50
Latest poll (Dec. 10-13): Trump 35, Cruz 15, Rubio 12, Carson 12, Kasich 2

Georgia
Delegates: 76
Latest poll (Feb. 22-23): Trump 45, Rubio 19, Cruz 16, Carson 8, Carson 6

Virginia
Delegates: 49
Latest poll (Feb. 22-24): Trump 41, Rubio 27, Cruz 14, Kasich 7, Carson 7

Massachusetts
Delegates: 42
Latest poll (Feb. 19-21): Trump 50, Rubio 16, Kasich 13, Cruz 10, Carson 2

Vermont
Delegates: 16
Latest poll (Feb. 3-17): Trump 32, Rubio 17, Cruz 11, Kasich 10, Carson 3

Oklahoma
Delegates: 43
Latest poll (Feb. 22-23): Trump 29, Rubio 21, Cruz 20, Carson 6, Kasich 5

Texas
Delegates: 155
Latest poll (Feb. 22-24): Cruz 38, Trump 23, Rubio 21, Carson 6, Kasich 5

Minnesota
Delegates: 38
Latest poll (Jan 18-20): Rubio 23, Cruz 21, Trump 18, Carson 11, Kasich 2

Alaska
Delegates: 28
Latest poll (Jan. 5-12): Trump 28, Cruz 24, Carson 9, Rubio 7, Kasich 2

Tennessee
Delegates: 58
Latest poll (Nov. 11-23): Trump 29, Carson 25, Cruz 14, Rubio 12, Kasich n/a

Arkansas
Delegates: 40
Latest poll (Feb. 4): Cruz 27, Trump 23, Rubio 23, Carson 11, Kasich 4

Poll Vermont Republican Primary Super Tuesday 2016

The latest polls coming in from the state of Vermont show a clear frontrunner, and yes, it`s Donald Trump. Leading by a wide margin, it looks increasingly like he will become the republican choice for president in 2016.

Can his path to the nomination be arrested by the other candidates in time? Something dramatic will have to occur as most polls have the businessman with a large lead, well within the margin of error.

In Vermont Trump is particularly popular and holds a 15 point lead over nearest challenger Marco Rubio according to recent polls.

Here are the full results

Trump 32
Rubio  17
Cruz    11
Kasich 10
Carson 3

Nevada Caucuses Results Feb 23 2016

The moment of truth has arrived for the voters in the great state of Nevada. It's their turn to cast their ballot and choose which candidate they would like to represent them as the republican nominee for the presidency in 2016.

The long campaign process has already been plagued with controversies and surprises. Jeb Bush, considered as the favored candidate for the GOP establishment has already fallen by the wayside. It would now appear to be the responsibility of Rubio to carry that particular mantle.

We are now effectively in a three way race between Trump, Cruz and Rubio for that nomination. Without doubt Donald Trump has the upper hand having swept the last two states, New Hampshire and South Carolina. The polls conducted beforehand were proved to be correct, although he obtained a slightly higher percentage than his polling would have suggested in NH and slightly lower in South Carolina.

The fact remains that according to the latest polls in Nevada, Trump is way out in front and unlikely to be caught. The latest surveys have him anywhere between 16-26% ahead.

Nevada is the last stop on the campaign trail prior to Super Tuesday, when 25% of delegates will be awarded.

Follow the results from the Nevada Caucuses here live

Republican South Carolina Poll Feb 16 2016

A new Poll from South Carolina shows Trump maintaining a handsome lead over his rivals, obtaining an impressive 33%.

Rubio, Cruz and Bush continue to split the vote almost evenly between them, lowering the possibility of one of them retiring from the race.

Rubio and Cruz are tied in second place with 14% each, Jeb Bush is just behind on 13%, Gov John Kasich continues to see a spike in support coming in at 10%, in what looks like a case of too little, too late.

Neurosurgeon Ben Carson is last with 6%.

Trumps support base continues to look incredibly solid despite constant attacks by the media and other candidates, as we look ahead to the Nevada Caucuses where Trump also leads by double digits. If he does well on Super Tuesday then it could be all over.

The question is, can anyone stop Trump?

Republican Nevada Poll Primary February 2016

According to Realclearpolitics Donald Trump holds an impressive lead going into the Nevada Caucuses. In fact he has held a double digit lead since last July. 

The last reliable poll showed Trump with a 13 point lead over nearest rival Ted Cruz, although this was conducted almost two months ago and it remains to be seen how recent developments may have altered voter patterns.

One thing is clear, if the business Mogul wins in South Carolina he will have the wind in his sails and be looking to sweep through Nevada with yet another victory.

Gravis Poll 12/23 - 12/27 2015

Donald Trump 33%

Ted Cruz 20%

Rubio 11%

Carson 6%

Bush 5%

Kasich 0%

South Carolina Republican Primary Polls February 2016

Finally we have the results of a new South Carolina poll for the republican primaries and it shows that not an awful lot has changed since january. 

While many commentators were eager to see what effect the Iowa and New Hampshire results would have upon the preferences in the vital state which will vote on February 20, it seems as though up until now the previous results have had little impact.

Trump maintains a significant lead over closest rival Ted Cruz, leading by 17% at 36 - 19. Rubio maintains himself in third place up 1 point at 15%. Jeb Bush climbed closer to Rubio moving from 9-11% while Kasich leaped from 1-9% after his second place finish in New Hampshire.

The tightening of the field will be music to the ears of Real Estate mogul Donald Trump who is the main benefactor of the split in opinion.

Results South Carolina Poll (Augusta Chronicle, 10-11 February)

Donald Trump 36%
Ted Cruz 19%
Marco Rubio 15%
Jeb Bush 11%
John Kasich 9%
Carson 5%
Undecided 5%