Indiana Republican Polls GOP April 27 2016 Trump, Cruz

Voters in the state of Indiana will finally have their opportunity to express their opinions over which republican primary candidate best represents their views when they go to the polls on May 3.

The state, which comes late in the primary process and would usually be of little importance, has now been brought to centre stage, given the delicate nature of the race.

There are a total of 57 delegates that will be on offer and the state adopts a winner-take-all approach to their allocation. Meaning that whoever wins will walk away with 100% of the delegates.

According to the latest RealClearPolitics Average (April 18-22) it is Donald Trump who is making the running in the state, although his lead is not as impressive as it has been in some states. The businessman is at 39.3% followed by Cruz 33% and Kasich 19.3%.

Should Trump be victorious here then he will certainly maintain his hopes of obtaining the 1,237 delegates alive.

Predictions Utah Republican GOP 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

The Utah Republican Presidential Caucus is swiftly approaching and 40 vital delegates are up for grabs. The question is, who will triumph in the state?

Not much polling has been done here but at the beginning of January a poll of 415 likely republican voters showed a four way split between Rubio 15%, Cruz 18%, Trump 17% and Carson 15%. After the withdrawal of Rubio and Carson from the race it is now likely to be a battle between Cruz and Trump although Kasich is likely to see his percentage rise from the 1% he was polling earlier in the year.

Ted Cruz should win the state rather easily as Mormon voters who consider themselves very religious tend to shy away from voting for Trump. Many commentators have noted this trend which could wreck any hopes the business mogul has for a victory here.

Poll Florida Republican GOP March 11 2016

A new Fox News Poll has Donald Trump surging in the state of Florida, considered of vital importance in his attempt to secure the nomination for the republicans. 

The poll of 813 likely voters shows the business mogul on 42%, well ahead of Marco Rubio on 20%. Ted Cruz is in third place with 16% and Kasich has 10%. 

If these numbers end up being true on March 15, the day in which Florida goes to polls alongside 4 other states, then it looks like it will be a happy day in the Trump camp. 

Trump needs 1,237 delegates to be sure of winning the nomination and avoid a contested convention. 

Illinois Poll Republican GOP March 11 2016

As the republican nomination process rolls along, one of the key states yet to go to the polls is Illinois where 69 delegates are available in a winner-take-all contest.

According to new polls conducted within the last week billionaire mogul Donald Trump has a healthy lead in the state which votes on March 15.

The RealClearPolitics Average shows Trump is in a strong position with 32.7% support, followed by Marco Rubio with 18.7%, Cruz with 17.7% and finally Kasich with 13.3%.

Should the polls turn out to be right then it would be an important step for Trump in his attempt to secure the 1,237 delegates he needs to win the nomination.

Florida Poll GOP March 10 2016 Trump, Cruz, Rubio, Kasich

Florida is seen as one of the key battlegrounds in the race for the republican nomination for President in 2016.

This year the closed primary will take place on March 15 and 99 delegates are up for grabs. The fact that the state is determined as winner-take-all only serves to further underscore its importance in the election process.

So, who is in the lead? Well, according to polls Donald Trump has a notable advantage over nearest rival Marco Rubio, who is a Senator in Florida.

The RealClearPolitics Average has Trump on 39.8% compared to Rubio on 25%, Cruz comes in third at 17.6% and Kasich last with 8.3%.

Should these numbers hold for Trump in the final days before voting, then he would sweep the state and take a big step towards the nomination.

Results Republican Primaries Tuesday March 8 2016

On Tuesday it was another very good night for republican frontrunner Donald Trump who triumphed in  the states of Mississippi, Michigan and Hawaii while Texas Senator Ted Cruz posted a win in Idaho. In the all important delegate count Trump now stands at 458, Cruz at 359, Rubio at 151 and Kasich 54.

We seem to be no closer to predicting whether or not Trump will reach the magic count of 1,237 and various strategies have been floated over the last few days of how to deny him the nomination should he not reach that number when the convention rolls around.

Keeping the remaining 3 adversaries to Trump in the race until the very end would be one possible way to deny him an outright majority, last week Mitt Romney hinted at the idea of Ohio Republicans Voting for Kasich and Florida Republicans voting for Rubio, tactical voting in order to lower Trump`s possibilities.

Should Trump win the delegate count by a significant margin but not reach 1,237 then denying him the nomination could risk fragmenting the party, it would be a massive gamble.

Results Primaries March 8 2016 Mississippi, Michigan, Idaho, Hawaii

It`s another important day in the primaries for the Democrat and Republican Primaries for the nomination for the 2016 presidential election.

Democrats will vote in Michigan and Mississippi and the Republicans in 4 states, Michigan, Mississippi, Idaho and Hawaii.

Without doubt on the Democrat side, Bernie Sanders needs to gain a majority of the 152 available delegates in order to still be considered a real challenger to Clinton.

As soon as the results become Available they will be published here



Mississippi


Idaho


Hawaii


Michigan 

Super Tuesday Republican Results March 1 2016

The big moment has finally arrived, Super Tuesday is the day in which the contests on both the Republican and Democrat sides to secure the nomination of the party really starts to be decided.

The clear front runners are Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, at least according to polls. Trump leads in 8 of twelve states and if his numbers hold firm, then he will take a big step towards becoming the nominee. The interesting thing is that in certain states no reliable polling has been done for many months, so it remains to be seen how recent events may have effected public opinion in these areas.

On the democratic side former First Lady and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is in the ascendancy having vanquished Bernie Sanders in Nevada and South Carolina. Sanders who describes himself as a "Democratic Socialist" will have to put in a good showing in order to wrestle the momentum away from Clinton who is looking ever more like the democratic candidate in 2016.

Republican Polls Feb 28 2016

There are just two days to go until Super Tuesday, the day in which 12 states will have to make their choice for who they want to represent them as the republican nominee in 2016.

The latest polls show businessman Donald Trump leading in most areas although a recent poll shows Ted Cruz with a big lead in Texas.

Latest Republican Polls, Super Tuesday States


Alabama
Delegates: 50
Latest poll (Dec. 10-13): Trump 35, Cruz 15, Rubio 12, Carson 12, Kasich 2

Georgia
Delegates: 76
Latest poll (Feb. 22-23): Trump 45, Rubio 19, Cruz 16, Carson 8, Carson 6

Virginia
Delegates: 49
Latest poll (Feb. 22-24): Trump 41, Rubio 27, Cruz 14, Kasich 7, Carson 7

Massachusetts
Delegates: 42
Latest poll (Feb. 19-21): Trump 50, Rubio 16, Kasich 13, Cruz 10, Carson 2

Vermont
Delegates: 16
Latest poll (Feb. 3-17): Trump 32, Rubio 17, Cruz 11, Kasich 10, Carson 3

Oklahoma
Delegates: 43
Latest poll (Feb. 22-23): Trump 29, Rubio 21, Cruz 20, Carson 6, Kasich 5

Texas
Delegates: 155
Latest poll (Feb. 22-24): Cruz 38, Trump 23, Rubio 21, Carson 6, Kasich 5

Minnesota
Delegates: 38
Latest poll (Jan 18-20): Rubio 23, Cruz 21, Trump 18, Carson 11, Kasich 2

Alaska
Delegates: 28
Latest poll (Jan. 5-12): Trump 28, Cruz 24, Carson 9, Rubio 7, Kasich 2

Tennessee
Delegates: 58
Latest poll (Nov. 11-23): Trump 29, Carson 25, Cruz 14, Rubio 12, Kasich n/a

Arkansas
Delegates: 40
Latest poll (Feb. 4): Cruz 27, Trump 23, Rubio 23, Carson 11, Kasich 4

Poll Vermont Republican Primary Super Tuesday 2016

The latest polls coming in from the state of Vermont show a clear frontrunner, and yes, it`s Donald Trump. Leading by a wide margin, it looks increasingly like he will become the republican choice for president in 2016.

Can his path to the nomination be arrested by the other candidates in time? Something dramatic will have to occur as most polls have the businessman with a large lead, well within the margin of error.

In Vermont Trump is particularly popular and holds a 15 point lead over nearest challenger Marco Rubio according to recent polls.

Here are the full results

Trump 32
Rubio  17
Cruz    11
Kasich 10
Carson 3

Poll Georgia GOP Super Tuesday March 1 2016

With just a few days left until "Super Tuesday" the race to become the republican nominee is heating up. With accusations and insults flying from one side to the other. Essentially it has become a three man race. Trump, Rubio and Cruz will battle it out in the remaining states.

According to the latest polls of the states that vote on March 1, Cruz has the lead in Arkansas and Texas, although in the latter his advantage has been dwindling in recent days as Trump enjoys a boost after his massive win in Nevada. Trump leads in all the remaining states, some by wide margins and others are closer. If Rubio doesn`t win a state on Super Tuesday it could be the end of the road for him.

Georgia is one of the states that votes on March 1 and the current polls make good reading for Trump fans.


FOX 5 Atlanta 2/22-2/23

Trump  34
Rubio   22
Cruz     20
Kasich  9
Carson  8

WSB-TV / Landmark 2/21-2/21

Trump 32
Rubio  23
Cruz   19
Carson 8
Kasich 8

CBS News/ YouGov  1/18- 1/21

Trump 39
Cruz   29
Rubio 13
Carson 6
Kasich 2

Poll Texas GOP Republican February 2016

Super Tuesday is just around the corner and all eyes are on the polls of the potential republican candidates in order to see who will do best in the states that simultaneously vote on this day.

With regard to Texas the latest polls shows Texas Senator Ted Cruz with a commanding lead over Trump in the state. The RealClearPolitics average of polls indicates the Cruz has the support of 37.3% of voters whereas Trump only 28%.

With so many delegates at play in this state, Cruz will undoubtedly be looking to Texas in order to give a much needed boost to his campaign and claim a victory over businessman Donald Trump. Ever since Cruz`s triumph in Iowa he has not really got close to Trump and has had to concede victory in NH and South Carolina.

What do you think? Will Cruz take Texas or will Trump rally at the last moment with added momentum given his victory in South Carolina?

Here are the full Results of the RealClearPolitics Average of Polls

Ted Cruz           37.3%

Donald Trump   28%

Marco Rubio     11.7%

Ben Carson        4.7%

John Kasich        3%

Which States Vote on Super Tuesday 2016

Super Tuesday is seen as a landmark in the campaign for both the Democratic and Republican primaries in 2016, with so many delegates up for grabs, this day can literally make or break a campaign. A good showing by Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump could pretty much spell the end of any realistic challenge to their bids to become the nominees.

Should Donald Trump sweep up the majority of states it would be very difficult to imagine anyone reaching him and as for Hillary Clinton who already has a massive amount of superdelegates in her favor, Sanders needs a good day in order to keep his momentum going.

The states that vote on Super Tuesday are the following


Republican

Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia and Wyoming.

Democrat

Alabama, American Samoa, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia.

Polls Virginia Republican Primaries February 2016

A poll conducted by Christopher Newport University shows Donald Trump with a lead of 6% in the state of Virginia. Trump is at 28% of support compared to Rubio with 22% who in turn is closely followed by Cruz with 19%.

Kasich and Carson are tied at 7% and Bush at 4% (The poll was conducted before Bush suspended his campaign) and most commentators think that Bush supporters are more likely to gravitate towards Rubio which could give him a few more vital percentage points and make for a very interesting battle between him and Trump in the state.

The poll was carried out between 2/3-2/14 with a relatively small sample size of 368 meaning the margin of error is 5.6 points.

Here are the full results

Trump 28%
Rubio  22%
Cruz   19%
Kasich 7%
Carson 7%
Bush    4% (Campaign suspended)

Nevada Caucuses Results Feb 23 2016

The moment of truth has arrived for the voters in the great state of Nevada. It's their turn to cast their ballot and choose which candidate they would like to represent them as the republican nominee for the presidency in 2016.

The long campaign process has already been plagued with controversies and surprises. Jeb Bush, considered as the favored candidate for the GOP establishment has already fallen by the wayside. It would now appear to be the responsibility of Rubio to carry that particular mantle.

We are now effectively in a three way race between Trump, Cruz and Rubio for that nomination. Without doubt Donald Trump has the upper hand having swept the last two states, New Hampshire and South Carolina. The polls conducted beforehand were proved to be correct, although he obtained a slightly higher percentage than his polling would have suggested in NH and slightly lower in South Carolina.

The fact remains that according to the latest polls in Nevada, Trump is way out in front and unlikely to be caught. The latest surveys have him anywhere between 16-26% ahead.

Nevada is the last stop on the campaign trail prior to Super Tuesday, when 25% of delegates will be awarded.

Follow the results from the Nevada Caucuses here live

Nevada Primary Poll February 2 / 22 / 2016 Republican

The latest information this week shows Donald Trump with a big lead in Nevada, a CNN/ORC poll conducted between 10-15 February with a sample size of 245 likely republican voters and a margin of error of 6.5 shows Trump leading by a massive 26 points at 45% with Rubio second on 19% and Cruz with 17%.

Another poll conducted by Gravis between February 14-15 of 687 likely republican voters with a margin of error of 4% shows Trump with a lead of 16 points at 39% and Cruz coming second with 23% followed by Rubio on 19%.

Going into the Nevada caucuses, without doubt "The Donald" is the frontrunner and will be boosted even more by his recent victories in New Hampshire and South Carolina.

South Carolina Republican Poll Results 20 February 2016

According to a poll conducted by NBC/WSJ Trump`s advantage in South Carolina has been cut to 5%. Down from 16% a month ago. Trump leads Cruz by 28-23 with Marco Rubio at 15% and Jeb Bush just behind at 13%, John Kasich and Ben Carson are tied at 9% each.

In a break down of different voter blocks there are clear tendancies, for example among voters that consider themselves to be "very conservative" Cruz leads Trump by 42-22, however "The Donald" continues to appeal to evangelical voters and holds an advantage 29-26 over the Texas Senator.

The sample size of the Poll is 1,227 Republicans and has a margin of error of 2.8%. It must be noted that most recent polls show Donald Trump with a double digit lead. According to Realclearpolitics an average of all the polls taken within the last week show the businessman with a lead of 14.8%.

Poll South Carolina February 18 2016 Trump

A new poll conducted by NBC/WSJ shows Ted Cruz beating Trump nationally by 2%, the businessman had previously won 31 consecutive national polls, many by a very wide margin. This time however, the Texas Senator obtained 28% of the vote and Donald Trump only 26%.

At almost the same time a poll came out from Quinnipiac University showing Trump at 39% followed by Rubio with 19% and Cruz with 18%. It would appear that the NBC/WSJ poll is an aberration rather than a new trend, in any case we will need another independent poll in order to ascertain the veracity of this information.

The disparity between those two polls is quite stunning, Trump down 2% according to NBC and up 20 points according to Quinnipiac, the argument appears to be that the NBC poll was conducted exclusively after the CBS debate in South Carolina whereas other polls comprise of some overlap of before and after the debate (since which his support has supposedly collapsed).

It is very hard to believe that Trump`s support has evaporated overnight, especially when his supporters tend to be the most loyal and have stuck with him even during the incessant media barrage of media attacks.

Republican South Carolina Poll Feb 16 2016

A new Poll from South Carolina shows Trump maintaining a handsome lead over his rivals, obtaining an impressive 33%.

Rubio, Cruz and Bush continue to split the vote almost evenly between them, lowering the possibility of one of them retiring from the race.

Rubio and Cruz are tied in second place with 14% each, Jeb Bush is just behind on 13%, Gov John Kasich continues to see a spike in support coming in at 10%, in what looks like a case of too little, too late.

Neurosurgeon Ben Carson is last with 6%.

Trumps support base continues to look incredibly solid despite constant attacks by the media and other candidates, as we look ahead to the Nevada Caucuses where Trump also leads by double digits. If he does well on Super Tuesday then it could be all over.

The question is, can anyone stop Trump?

Republican Nevada Poll Primary February 2016

According to Realclearpolitics Donald Trump holds an impressive lead going into the Nevada Caucuses. In fact he has held a double digit lead since last July. 

The last reliable poll showed Trump with a 13 point lead over nearest rival Ted Cruz, although this was conducted almost two months ago and it remains to be seen how recent developments may have altered voter patterns.

One thing is clear, if the business Mogul wins in South Carolina he will have the wind in his sails and be looking to sweep through Nevada with yet another victory.

Gravis Poll 12/23 - 12/27 2015

Donald Trump 33%

Ted Cruz 20%

Rubio 11%

Carson 6%

Bush 5%

Kasich 0%