Poll Trump vs Clinton September 7 2016

A new poll out today conducted by CNN/ORC shows Donald Trump with a slight lead over Hillary Clinton. The poll which comprised of 786 likely voters show Donald Trump on 49% compared to 48% for Clinton, a lead of one point.

CNN/ORC Poll (September 1-4) Margin of Error 3.5%

Donald Trump  49%
Hillary Clinton  48%

This poll marks a difference between recent polls, which have shown Clinton leading, in fact according to the RealClearPolitics Average, which takes into account the last 9 reliable polls Clinton still leads by 3.3%.

RealClearPolitics Average (August 25- September 4)

Hillary Clinton   46.2%
Donald Trump   42.9%

Election Results in Germany September 2016

Angela Merkel has suffered a humiliating defeat in her home state at the hands of AfD, a relatively new anti immigration party that has been stiffly growing in popularity.

Following the victory, the leader of the AfD Frauke Petry struck a triumphant tone, saying "This is a slap in the face for Merkel - not only in Berlin but also in her home state. The voters made a clear statement against Merkel's disastrous immigration policies. This put her in her place.".

Merkel and her party have begun to suffer a backlash on her immigration policies, especially following the events in Cologne on New Years Eve when hundreds of women were subjected to sexual assault, largely at the hands of migrants, in addition to recent terrorist incidents.

Alternative for Deutschland Party (AfD) secured 21% of the vote, compared to 19.2% for Merkel`s CDU party in the state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.

Latest Polls in Pennsylvania September 2016

A new poll out from the state of Pennsylvania shows that Hillary Clinton has a 7 point lead in the key state.

Trump has invested a lot of resources and has constantly said that he believes he can win there, Pennsylvania has not been won by the Republicans for the last 20 years.

The survey of likely voters conducted by The Franklin and Marshall College shows Clinton on 47% with Trump on 40%.

In the case of a four person contest, Clinton`s lead shrinks to just 3%, with the ex First Lady on 41% compared to 38% for Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson on 7% and Green Party Jill Stein at on 2%. An interesting fact is that 13% of voters remain undecided at this late stage, meaning that the presidential debates could have an effect on which way the state votes.

There is a clear gender divide between Clinton and Trump`s supporters, Trump leads among white men by 41-38 whereas Clinton leads among white women 45-38.