On the eve of the presidential elections in the United States, polling continues to show a right race in prospect.
There is no doubt that polls have been incredibly volatile in the days and weeks leading up to this key political event. However, Hillary Clinton has been leading in most of them during the majority of this electoral campaign.
Trump seems to have cut the distance within the last few days and weeks however, sending shock through world stock markets.
Average RealClearPolitics (October 30-November 5)
Hillary Clinton 46.6%
Donald Trump 44.8%
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Showing posts with label poll. Show all posts
Showing posts with label poll. Show all posts
Monday, November 7, 2016
Friday, October 28, 2016
Poll Trump vs Clinton October 29 2016
There is a great deal of tension in the United States given the imminent Presidential Election that will take place within two weeks.
Few times has the country been so divided, in a year marked by anti establishment candidates. Bernie Sanders on the Democrat side and Donald Trump for the Republicans. Sanders Revolution in the end didn`t achieve victory and Hillary Clinton become the nominee of the party. Although Trump won the republican primaries.
The majority of the polls show that Hillary Clinton is leading by a few points over Donald Trump, in fact the RealClearPolitics average shows the following
RealClearPolitics Average (October 20-27)
Hillary Clinton 47.3%
Donald Trump 42.1%
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Monday, October 17, 2016
Poll Trump vs Clinton October 18 2016
Now with just a few weeks left until the presidential elections in the United States which will take place on November 8, most polls continue to show Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by a significant margin.
The polls were showing a much closer race prior to a leaked tape of Trump making lewd comments about women. Since that moment Clinton has increased her advantage in a big way and now leads by 5.5 points according to the latest RealClearPolitics Average
RealClearPolitics Average (October 6-16)
Hillary Clinton 47.7%
Donald Trump 42.2%
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Saturday, September 17, 2016
Poll Florida Trump vs Clinton September 2016
One of the key battleground states, or swing states, in every election is Florida.
Many commentators believe that it is key that Donald Trump triumphs in this state in order to have an opportunity to be victorious in this year`s race.
Hillary Clinton has had a lead here for the last few months, however in recent weeks Trump appeared to be closing and now indeed, according to the RealClearPolitics average (August 19- September 12) shows the real estate mogul with a slender lead.
RealClearPolitics Average
Donald Trump 45.1%
Hillary Clinton 44.4%
This comes on the back of the two polls showing Trump with a 4 point lead in the state.
CNN/ORC (September 7-12) Sample 788 Likely Voters, Margin of Error 3.5%
Donald Trump 50%
Hillary Clinton 46%
JMC Analytics (September 7-8) Sample 781 Likely Voters, Margin of Error 3.5%
Donald Trump 46%
Hillary Clinton 42%
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Friday, September 9, 2016
Poll Trump vs Clinton September 10 2016
It seems like an age ago that the presidential campaign began with both the Republican and Democrat primaries, however we are now approaching the end of this long process, just 2 months remain until voters go to the polls to decide who will become the most powerful human on earth.
It is safe to say that this has been one of the most polarizing campaigns in recent history, with both candidates having a very high disapproval rating. Trump having has a definite core number of supporters who are very enthusiastic, he has been able to fill stadiums full of 20-30 thousand supporters, whereas the support for Clinton has been more tepid, people mainly are supporting her due to their hatred for Trump.
With the battle lines drawn and the campaign reaching fever pitch, the polls appear to be tightening. Clinton had been leading by a significant margin for most of the last few months, but now polls appear to show her only 1-2% ahead of Trump.
Latest Polls show the race is tightening.
LA Times/USC Tracking (September 2-8), Sample Size 2653 Likely voters, Margin of Error 4.5%
Hillary Clinton 45%
Donald Trump 44%
Economist/YouGov (September 4-6), Sample Size 955 Registered voters, Margin of Error 4.7%
Hillary Clinton 44%
Donald Trump 42%
Tuesday, September 6, 2016
Poll Trump vs Clinton September 7 2016
A new poll out today conducted by CNN/ORC shows Donald Trump with a slight lead over Hillary Clinton. The poll which comprised of 786 likely voters show Donald Trump on 49% compared to 48% for Clinton, a lead of one point.
CNN/ORC Poll (September 1-4) Margin of Error 3.5%
Donald Trump 49%
Hillary Clinton 48%
This poll marks a difference between recent polls, which have shown Clinton leading, in fact according to the RealClearPolitics Average, which takes into account the last 9 reliable polls Clinton still leads by 3.3%.
RealClearPolitics Average (August 25- September 4)
Hillary Clinton 46.2%
Donald Trump 42.9%
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Monday, September 5, 2016
Poll Trump vs Clinton September 6 2016
New polling data would appear to indicate that Donald Trump has managed to chip into Hillary Clinton`s lead slightly.
A few weeks ago the RealClearPolitics Average had her 6 points in front, whereas today that lead has shrunk to just 3.9 points.
RealClearPolitics Average (August 22- September 2)
Hillary Clinton 46.0%
Donald Trump 42.1%
Many Trump critics have pointed to his inability to exceed 42-43% in the polls, suggesting that this may be his ceiling. The businessman was briefing leading in opinion polls following the RNC, however this bump quickly evaporated and Clinton once again retook the lead.
The first presidential debate will take place on September 26 and with many people still undecided, it could prove to be a decisive moment in the campaign.
Thursday, August 4, 2016
Republican vs Democrat Polls August 2016
A new poll conducted by FOX News shows that following the DNC would appear to indicate that Hillary Clinton has experienced a large bounce showing her up 10 points.
Trump`s campaign chairman Paul Manafort being interviewing on "CBS This Morning" downplayed the significance of the poll, saying that the drop "was expected". "It depends on which poll you look at. We feel like in another week or so, the polls are going to even out,", "We always thought we had a bounce and knew the Democrats would have a bounce. And now you see a situation in what looks like an uneven field but in two weeks we think that’s gonna even out if we are out there on our message, which we will be" he continued.
It should be noted that in the brief interlude between the RNC and DNC polls indicated that Trump had experienced a "Convention bounce", leading Clinton in most polls.
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Thursday, March 31, 2016
Wisconsin Republican Poll GOP April 1 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich
The Republican race continues to be a highly charged and controversial affair. Donald Trump in particular has made headlines, first his campaign manager Corey Lewandoski was charged with one count of simple battery in connection to an incident with Breitbart reporter Michelle Fields.
Trump, not content with only one controversy per week, then ploughed headlong into the ever delicate topic of abortion, suggesting that there should be "some form of punishment" for women who undergo the procedure, although he later clarified that "The doctor or any other person performing this illegal act upon a woman would be held legally responsible, not the woman".
Ted Cruz, seemingly jealous of the massive media coverage that politically incorrect Trump is enjoying, decided to fight fire with fire and on the Jimmy Kimmel Live show jested "If I were in my car and getting ready to reverse and saw Donald in the backup camera, I’m not confident which pedal I’d push". Although it was clearly said in tone of joking, it will do nothing to calm the increasingly toxic republican race, in which Kasich takes a calm approach while Cruz and Trump trade blows and accusations, in which even their wives have been fair game.
According to polls in the state of Wisconsin there is still everything to play for.
The RealClearPolitics average of polls indicates the following percentages
Ted Cruz 34.8%
Donald Trump 31.8%
John Kasich 22.5%
Although an optimus poll with a very high sample size (6182) and 1.1% margin of error provided the following results
Donald Trump 31%
John Kasich 29%
Ted Cruz 27%
Undecided 13%
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Sunday, March 20, 2016
Arizona Republican Poll GOP March 21 2016
Arizona goes to the polls on March 22 and as a winner-take-all state, it is of vital importance.
Given the state of play in the republican race, the 58 delegates available in Arizona could go a long way towards deciding the final outcome.
Often at this stage of a campaign most of the republican establishment figures will have thrown their support behind one candidate in particular and the outcome will be a forgone conclusion. This time however, given that the favorite and current frontrunner, businessman Donald Trump is such a polarizing candidate, many in the party are actually plotting in order to deny him the nomination.
The RealClearPolitics average of polls indicates the following percentages in Arizona
Donald Trump 34%
Ted Cruz 21%
John Kasich 12.5%
Should these numbers materialize on the day of the election then Trump will make off with the 58 delegates and be one step closer to the 1,237 that he requires in order to secure the nomination outright. We will have to wait and see.
Etiquetas:
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donald trump,
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john kasich,
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Utah Republican Poll GOP March 21 2016
A new poll coming from the state of Utah today shows that Ted Cruz is dominating and Donald Trump floundering.
According to the poll conducted by Y2 Analytics between March 17-19 of 500 likely caucus goers by telephone, Ted Cruz obtained a massive 53% of the preferences followed by Kasich on 29% and Trump on 11%.
Should this result materialize on caucus day then it would be very significant, given that breaking the 50% barrier would entitle Cruz to all of the state`s 40 delegates.
Currently Donald Trump is leading in terms of delegates with 678 followed by Cruz on 423 and Kasich on 143, it remains to be seen whether or not the charismatic businessman can obtain the 1,237 delegates needed to secure the nomination and avoid a brokered convention.
Etiquetas:
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donald trump,
exit polls,
john kasich,
percentage,
poll,
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ted cruz,
utah,
who is winning
Friday, March 18, 2016
Trump Poll California March 2016 Republican GOP
A new poll coming out of the state of California shows Republican candidate Donald Trump with a significant lead.
Trump polled 38.3% of the vote followed by 22.4% for Cruz and 19.7% for Kasich. Rubio had 10.1% of the preferences but has since suspended his campaign, 9.6% of the voters were undecided.
Should this poll be accurate then it would represent a big change from January when Ted Cruz had a slight advantage.
California is a winner-take-all state that will go to the polls on June 7 and has 172 delegates available.
Etiquetas:
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delegates,
donald trump,
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john kasich,
percentage,
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ted cruz
Monday, March 14, 2016
Results Ohio Republican March 15 2016 Trump, Kasich, Cruz, Rubio
Ohio is considered perhaps the most important contest of the day due to the narrow polling margin between the two frontrunners in the state, Donald Trump and Ohio Governor John Kasich.
The latest RealClearPolitics indicates the following percentages
John Kasich 36.8%
Donald Trump 33.6%
Ted Cruz 19.2%
Marco Rubio 5.2%
Whoever emerges victorious in the state will obtain all of the 66 candidates on offer as Ohio has a winner-take-all format, making it all the more important. Many commentators have stated that should Trump win Florida and Ohio then he will be well on his way to obtaining the nomination, although others have suggested he may fall just short of the 1,237 delegates that he requires, thus heralding in a brokered convention.
Whatever happens, you can follow the results here live as they come in.
Donald Trump 35.6%
Ted Cruz 13.1%
Marco Rubio 2.9%
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Friday, March 11, 2016
Republican Poll GOP Illinois March 12 2016
Illinois goes to the polls on March 15 and 69 delegates are available in the state. According to the latest polls Donald Trump is likely to be victorious.
The RealClearPolitics average has Trump ahead of the rest of the field on 32.7%, Florida Senator Marco Rubio is second on 18.7%, Ted Cruz comes in third at 17.7% and John Kasich at 13.3%.
It is too soon to gauge if Thursday`s debate has had any real effect on voting patterns but at this point it would appear that something dramatic would have to occur in order to overcome Trump`s lead in the state.
Etiquetas:
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donald trump,
exit polls,
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john kasich,
march 2016,
marco rubio,
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ted cruz,
winner
Friday, February 26, 2016
Bloomberg Poll Republican Super Tuesday 2016
A new survey conducted by Bloomberg shows that in the south, where a large amount of states go to the polls on march 1, to make their pick for the republican nominee, Donald Trump is dominating.
A lot of these states are amongst the most conservative in the country, places where perhaps Trump`s appeal would have been unexpected. According to the latest polls Trump leads in 9 super Tuesday states, Ted Cruz in 2 and Marco Rubio in none. Cruz is leading in Texas and Arkansas.
The in depth study by Bloomberg shows that taking into account combined first and second choice candidate, Trump leads with 50%, Rubio with 42% and Cruz with 39%, indicating that what many commentators have suggested - That Trump would quickly be vanquished were the field reduced to 2 candidates, is false.
A lot of these states are amongst the most conservative in the country, places where perhaps Trump`s appeal would have been unexpected. According to the latest polls Trump leads in 9 super Tuesday states, Ted Cruz in 2 and Marco Rubio in none. Cruz is leading in Texas and Arkansas.
The in depth study by Bloomberg shows that taking into account combined first and second choice candidate, Trump leads with 50%, Rubio with 42% and Cruz with 39%, indicating that what many commentators have suggested - That Trump would quickly be vanquished were the field reduced to 2 candidates, is false.
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donald trump,
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super tuesday 2016
Georgia Poll Democratic Super Tuesday 2016
Georgia is an important stop in the democratic primary process. It will be one of the states that vote on Super Tuesday which takes place on March 1.
Hillary Clinton currently has a handy lead in the southern state. According to the RealClearPolitics average the former First Lady has an advantage of 38%, leading by 63-25 over Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders.
Despite a virtual tie in Iowa and a large victory in New Hampshire Sanders has been unable to gain traction in this state and is still a long way adrift.
Latest Polls Georgia
FOX 5 Atlanta 2/22-2/23
Clinton 57
Sanders 29
WSB-TV/Landmark 2/21-2/21
Clinton 72
Sanders 20
PPP (D) 2/14-2/16
Clinton 60
Sanders 26
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2016,
democratic,
georgia,
poll,
super tuesday
Thursday, February 25, 2016
Poll Vermont Republican Primary Super Tuesday 2016
The latest polls coming in from the state of Vermont show a clear frontrunner, and yes, it`s Donald Trump. Leading by a wide margin, it looks increasingly like he will become the republican choice for president in 2016.
Can his path to the nomination be arrested by the other candidates in time? Something dramatic will have to occur as most polls have the businessman with a large lead, well within the margin of error.
In Vermont Trump is particularly popular and holds a 15 point lead over nearest challenger Marco Rubio according to recent polls.
Here are the full results
Trump 32
Rubio 17
Cruz 11
Kasich 10
Carson 3
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Poll Georgia GOP Super Tuesday March 1 2016
With just a few days left until "Super Tuesday" the race to become the republican nominee is heating up. With accusations and insults flying from one side to the other. Essentially it has become a three man race. Trump, Rubio and Cruz will battle it out in the remaining states.
According to the latest polls of the states that vote on March 1, Cruz has the lead in Arkansas and Texas, although in the latter his advantage has been dwindling in recent days as Trump enjoys a boost after his massive win in Nevada. Trump leads in all the remaining states, some by wide margins and others are closer. If Rubio doesn`t win a state on Super Tuesday it could be the end of the road for him.
Georgia is one of the states that votes on March 1 and the current polls make good reading for Trump fans.
FOX 5 Atlanta 2/22-2/23
Trump 34
Rubio 22
Cruz 20
Kasich 9
Carson 8
WSB-TV / Landmark 2/21-2/21
Trump 32
Rubio 23
Cruz 19
Carson 8
Kasich 8
CBS News/ YouGov 1/18- 1/21
Trump 39
Cruz 29
Rubio 13
Carson 6
Kasich 2
Tuesday, February 23, 2016
Poll Texas GOP Republican February 2016
Super Tuesday is just around the corner and all eyes are on the polls of the potential republican candidates in order to see who will do best in the states that simultaneously vote on this day.
With regard to Texas the latest polls shows Texas Senator Ted Cruz with a commanding lead over Trump in the state. The RealClearPolitics average of polls indicates the Cruz has the support of 37.3% of voters whereas Trump only 28%.
With so many delegates at play in this state, Cruz will undoubtedly be looking to Texas in order to give a much needed boost to his campaign and claim a victory over businessman Donald Trump. Ever since Cruz`s triumph in Iowa he has not really got close to Trump and has had to concede victory in NH and South Carolina.
What do you think? Will Cruz take Texas or will Trump rally at the last moment with added momentum given his victory in South Carolina?
Here are the full Results of the RealClearPolitics Average of Polls
Ted Cruz 37.3%
Donald Trump 28%
Marco Rubio 11.7%
Ben Carson 4.7%
John Kasich 3%
Etiquetas:
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Friday, February 19, 2016
South Carolina Republican Poll Results 20 February 2016
According to a poll conducted by NBC/WSJ Trump`s advantage in South Carolina has been cut to 5%. Down from 16% a month ago. Trump leads Cruz by 28-23 with Marco Rubio at 15% and Jeb Bush just behind at 13%, John Kasich and Ben Carson are tied at 9% each.
In a break down of different voter blocks there are clear tendancies, for example among voters that consider themselves to be "very conservative" Cruz leads Trump by 42-22, however "The Donald" continues to appeal to evangelical voters and holds an advantage 29-26 over the Texas Senator.
The sample size of the Poll is 1,227 Republicans and has a margin of error of 2.8%. It must be noted that most recent polls show Donald Trump with a double digit lead. According to Realclearpolitics an average of all the polls taken within the last week show the businessman with a lead of 14.8%.
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