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Thursday, August 4, 2016

Trump vs Clinton Virginia Polls August 2016





Two polls conducted last month in the state of Virginia show Clinton leading in the state and another shows the two in a tie.

A NBC/WSJ/Marist poll conducted between July 5-11 of 876 voters with a Margin of Error of 3.3% showed that Clinton leading 44-35, a lead of 9 points.

A FOX News poll which was undertaken between July 9-12 of 601 voters and with a margin of error of 4% showed Clinton leading 44-37, a lead of 7 points.

Hampton University poll which was conducted between 6-10 July of 805 voters and having a margin of error of 4.6% showed the two candidates tied at 39-39.

If we take an average of these 3 polls then Clinton is leading 5.3%

RCP Average (5-12 July)

Hillary Clinton  42.3%
Donald Trump  37.0%

Colorado Polls Trump vs Clinton August 2016





Colorado is considered one of the key swing states in this year`s election and according to the latest polls the democrats have a big advantage.

The RCP average of polls conducted between July 5- July 12 show that Hillary Clinton has the upper hand in the state.

RCP Average (July 5-July 12)

Hillary Clinton  44.6%
Donald Trump  36.6%

A fox News poll of 600 voters with a margin of error of 4 points conducted between July 9-July 12 showed the following results

Hillary Clinton  44%
Donald Trump  34%

Polls Ohio Trump vs Clinton August 2016





Polls in Ohio, one of the key swing states in this year`s presidential election shows a virtual tie between Donald Trump and HIllary Clinton.

The RealClearPolitics average of polls which were conducted between June 30- July 24 shows Clinton with a 0.8% advantage.

RCP Average (June 30-July 24)

Hillary Clinton  42.6%
Donald Trump  41.8%

This is based on the last 5 reliable polls in states, incredibly 4 of these polls all show the two candidates tied with only one CBS News/YouGov showing Clinton up by 4 points.

Barack Obama won Ohio for the democrats in 2008 and 2012 and prior to that George W Bush was victorious in the state in 2000 and 2004.

Although it is a relatively sparsely populated state it is always highly contested and it will be interesting to see the result this time around.

Tuesday, August 2, 2016

Trump calls Hillary Clinton "The Devil" (Video)



Donald Trump shows no sign of letting up in his attacks on HIllary Clinton, just yesterday referring to the democratic candidate as "The Devil". During a speech in Pennsylvania, given in typical fashion, Trump immediately went on the attack against Clinton, or as he likes to call her "crooked Hillary".

Trump then went on to say that he thought the election could be "rigged" against him and referring to the endorsement of Clinton by Bernie Sanders said "He made a deal with the devil, she`s the devil".


Monday, August 1, 2016

Trump vs Clinton Polls August 2 2016





As we can see the latest average of polls conducted by RealClearPolitics shows Hillary Clinton has retaken the lead over Republican candidate Donald Trump.

RCP Average (July 22-31)

Hillary Clinton  44.9%
Donald Trump  42.7%

So Clinton now has a lead of 2.2% largely due to two new polls conducted by CBS News and PPP which produced the following results.

CBS News Poll July 29-31, Margin of Error 3.0%, 1131 RV

Hillary Clinton  47%
Donald Trump  41%

PPP Poll, July 29-30, Margin of Error 2.7%, 1276 LV

Hillary Clinton  50%
Donald Trump  45%

Despite the fact that Trump has fallen behind once again he is still much closer to the democrat contender than he had been for much of July when Clinton`s lead fluctuated between 3-5% before Trump was the apparent beneficiary of a "convention bounce" at the end of the month when he moved into a 1% lead.

Most commentators and members of the public have been forced to admit, love him or loathe him, Donald Trump`s political resilience has been breathtaking. After overcoming a plethora of scandals during the Republican Primaries and facing a "Never Trump" movement from within the party, he has continued to dumbfound political gravity by running Clinton close in many polls. Polling from within the last month even showed him with slight leads in Pennsylvania and Florida and level in Ohio.

Although polling is our only real indicator of who is winning in the race for the White House, they have proven to be extremely volatile thus far. For example Clinton was shown to be leading in by 8 points in Florida and within just a few weeks Trump was shown to be in the lead by 1 point in the vital state.

Polls Trump vs Clinton Florida August 2016






No reliable polling has been conducted in the vital state of Florida since June 11. However according to the RealClearPolitics average which comprises of 4 polls conducted between June 27 and July 11, Donald Trump had a slight advantage.

RCP Average (June 27-July 11)

Donald Trump   43.8%
Hillary Clinton   43.5%

Many commentators often say that it is Florida that decides the election given that fact that it is usually quite evenly divided between Republican and Democrat voters and has a large population. According to national polls Clinton seems to be favorite to win the election by a slight margin, however should Trump win Florida then all bets are off.

United States Attacks ISIS in Libya : August 1 2016





The US military appears to be expanding its efforts against Islamic State in the North African country of Libya, where the group is said to have a significant presence.

Today air strikes were carried out around the city of Sirte, which has long been a stronghold of the group.

According to previous reports by experts on the terror group, one of their main aims is to gain territory in many countries in order to wage a final battle against the west. This may explain why the US and its allies are reluctant to engage in full scale combat against the group and instead opt for a longer term strategy of debilitating their capacities with targeted strikes in order that local forces dislodge them.