EU Referendum UK Exit Polls 23 June 2016

The big day is finally upon us, it is the moment where the british public will decide whether or not to remain a member of the EU.

Polls open at 7am and will close at 10pm (UK time) with the first results coming in just a few hours later.

As soon as the first results are available they will be published in real time here.

Exit Polls California Sanders Clinton June 7 2016

The California Primaries take place today and we are currently awaiting the first exit polls to see who has obtained victory in the state. According to reports this morning via AP Clinton may have passed the amount of delegates required to secure the nomination. The Sanders campaign responded furiously to this insisting that the race is not over yet. 

California Primary Democratic Results

Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders

Migrant Crisis in Europe Latest News June 2016

The migrant crisis has fast become one of the most important issues in European politics. More than 1 million migrants came ashore last year, straining the Schengen free movement area to breaking point, with many countries erecting walls and applying border countrols in order to have some semblance of control.

The migrant crisis was initially focused on Italy with desperate migrants fleeing poverty and war in Africa, Syria and Iraq. However after german chancellor Angela Merkel announced that migrants could obtain refuge in Germany the flood gates opened, with thousands arriving daily on the Greek Islands from Turkey, a much shorter and safer journey than the one from Libya to Italy.

With the recent deal between Turkey and the EU migrant arrivals in Greece have been largely curtailed, however as many predicted this has lead to a new surge of arrivals in Italy, with 15,000 migrants arriving in just one week at the end of April.

Latest Polls Donald Trump Hillary Clinton June 7 2016

The latest polling data shows that the race between the two likely contenders in the 2016 presidential election race has become somewhat tighter compared to just a few weeks ago.

Controversial businessman Donald Trump, whose candidacy was branded a "joke" and "publicity stunt" by many commentators is now being taken seriously by his opponents after he crushed his adversaries in the Republican Primaries, installing himself as the party`s presumptive nominee.

On the democrat side, Clinton has pretty much tied up the nomination, largely due to her greater popularity with the superdelegates compared to her rival Bernie Sanders. Barring some last moment massive switch of allegiance of the superdelegates, then we are looking at a Trump-Clinton showdown.

According to the latest average of polls on the site RealClearPolitics Hillary Clinton leads Trump by 1.5 points, 43.8%-42.3%. Compare this to April where the former First Lady and Secretary of State was enjoying a ten point lead.

Video Shooting UCLA June 1 2016

It is being reported that a shooting has taken place on UCLA campus injuring at least 2 people. Details are still coming in but the suspect is being described as a 6ft white male. The Los Angeles Police Department has been put on citywide tactical alert.

More Details to follow

Clinton vs Trump Polls May 29 2016

Ever since Donald Trump burst onto the political scene with his announcement that he would be running for president, his detractors mocked and derided the flamboyant businessman. Many even thought it was a joke or publicity stunt. However, having just officially surpassed the required delegate count and being the Republican Party`s presumptive nominee, he looks to be the one who will take on Hillary Clinton in the presidential election.

The latest polls show that Trump is closing the gap on Clinton with the latest RealClearPolitics average putting her on 43.8% compared to 42.8% for Trump. Should these numbers continue over the summer and into the autumn then we could be in for close run race in November.

UK EU Referendum Polls May 19 2016

The latest polls for the EU referendum due to take place in the UK on June 23rd are beginning to show that the remain camp has the edge. Many polls conducted online in recent weeks have been showing "leave" with a slight advantage, however all polls that are conducted via telephone seem to show a big advantage for "remain".

However, in last years general election both online and telephone polling proved to be incorrect and some analysts believe that the anonimity of online polling allows respondents to give a more honest answer. Turnout will likely also be a key factor in the referendum.

Latest Polling EU Referendum

ICM (13-15 May), Sample Size 1002, Telephone

Remain      47%
Leave         39%
Undecided  14%

ICM (13-15 May), Sample Size 2048, Online

Leave         47%
Remain      43%
Undecided  10%

ORB (11-15 May), Sample Size 800, Telephone

Remain      55%
Leave         40%
Undecided   5%

TNS (10-12 May), Sample Size 1222, Online

Leave         41%
Remain      38%
Undecided  21%