New York Republican GOP Polls 12 April 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

The next stop in the Republican Primary race will be the state of New York, where businessman Donald Trump is expected to do well.

Following a resounding defeat to Texas Senator Ted Cruz in Wisconsin, "The Donald" will be eager to get his campaign back on track with a return to winning ways in his home state.

There are a total of 95 delegates up for grabs in the state and they are awarded in a winner-take-most system.

The RealClearPolitics Average of polls currently indicates a big lead for Trump

RealClearPolitics Average

Donald Trump      53.5%
John Kasich        21%
Ted Cruz            18.8%

Trump is also currently leading in the delegate which of April 12 is as follows

Donald Trump   743
Ted Cruz          545
John Kasich     143

Poll South Carolina February 18 2016 Trump

A new poll conducted by NBC/WSJ shows Ted Cruz beating Trump nationally by 2%, the businessman had previously won 31 consecutive national polls, many by a very wide margin. This time however, the Texas Senator obtained 28% of the vote and Donald Trump only 26%.

At almost the same time a poll came out from Quinnipiac University showing Trump at 39% followed by Rubio with 19% and Cruz with 18%. It would appear that the NBC/WSJ poll is an aberration rather than a new trend, in any case we will need another independent poll in order to ascertain the veracity of this information.

The disparity between those two polls is quite stunning, Trump down 2% according to NBC and up 20 points according to Quinnipiac, the argument appears to be that the NBC poll was conducted exclusively after the CBS debate in South Carolina whereas other polls comprise of some overlap of before and after the debate (since which his support has supposedly collapsed).

It is very hard to believe that Trump`s support has evaporated overnight, especially when his supporters tend to be the most loyal and have stuck with him even during the incessant media barrage of media attacks.