Results Nevada Feb 20 2016 Democrat

51% OF VOTES COUNTED

CLINTON 51.8%

SANDERS 48.2%

Bernie Sanders and Hilary Clinton are locked in a fierce battle in Nevada, with the latest polls showing that the Senator from Vermont has overcome a massive deficit just a few months ago and has now drawn even in the vital state.

Some polls have them in a dead heat at 45-45% while others show Clinton with a slender advantage.

Sanders has been steadily growing in the polls, building his campaign upon a solid base of democratic socialism. He has hitherto derived most of his support from young white voters, however in order to win the nomination he will need to gain with black and Latino voters and there is some evidence that he is making inroads into this demographic, worrying the Clinton Campaign.

Republican Nevada Poll Primary February 2016

According to Realclearpolitics Donald Trump holds an impressive lead going into the Nevada Caucuses. In fact he has held a double digit lead since last July. 

The last reliable poll showed Trump with a 13 point lead over nearest rival Ted Cruz, although this was conducted almost two months ago and it remains to be seen how recent developments may have altered voter patterns.

One thing is clear, if the business Mogul wins in South Carolina he will have the wind in his sails and be looking to sweep through Nevada with yet another victory.

Gravis Poll 12/23 - 12/27 2015

Donald Trump 33%

Ted Cruz 20%

Rubio 11%

Carson 6%

Bush 5%

Kasich 0%

Sanders Clinton Nevada Poll February 2016 Democrats

We are just a few days away from the Nevada Democratic Caucus and the race is without any shadow a doubt heating up. Polls from 2015 showed Clinton with a massive lead, however, a recent survey conducted by Targetpoint shows the two in a dead heat at 45-45%. Compare this to a Gravis poll in December showing Clinton with a 23 point lead.

Another victory for Sanders would without doubt spread worry in the Clinton camp. Hitherto the ex First Lady and Secretary of State has been leading in polls, especially with black and Hispanic voters, while Sanders Draws his support mainly from young white voters. However there is certain evidence that the senator from Vermont may be making inroads into this demographic.

Many ethnic minority voters didn`t know much about Sanders at the beginning of the campaign but after his resounding victory in New Hampshire his profile has definitely been boosted.

Sanders supports a path to citizenship for undocumented migrants and will without doubt look to attack Clinton on this issue, after in 2015 she declared that unaccompanied minors from Central America should be returned to their countries.

In a recent debate Sanders highlighted his wish to "bring families together and not divide them up" and said that he would use executive orders if congress "doesn`t do the right thing".

Clinton said she was "against the raids" and "inhumane treatment" in the immigration system, instead saying "we should be deporting criminals not hardworking immigrant families". She made it clear that she was also in favor of a path to citizenship for undocumented migrants and said her comments about immigrant minors were in order to dissuade their families from sending them on the dangerous trek through Central America.

Predictions Iowa Caucuses 1 February 2016

The republican field of precandidates for the presidency in 2016 is unusually big, at 12. Many people think that this will lead to divisions within the party, given that the the GOP establishment candidates are way down in the polls and people with little or no political experience, such as Donald Trump, are leading thus far.

The success of Bernie Sanders, who represents the democratic party, describing himself as a "Democrat Socialist" has been a great surprise, especially given that historically the term "socialist" has been avoided like the plague in election time. Although his frank message has found fertile ground within young people and liberals, his lack of experience in politics could be to his detriment.

Donald Trump has achieved a lot thus far, leading the republican polls in the United States despite having made a number of controversial comments that would have sunk other candidates. Even his adversaries admit that he has been adept at using social media to keep himself in the limelight.

Both republicans and democrats could end up with presidential candidates with enormous levels of rejection. According to a recent poll by NBC News/Wall Street Journal, almost half of voters have a negative opinion of Clinton and almost 6 in 10 a negative opinion of Trump.