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Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts

Friday, December 1, 2017

Bitcoin Price December 2017 Predictions





With Crypto Currencies becoming ever more popular, Bitcoin prominent among them, many analysts are torn as to whether this is the future of buying and selling online or a grave threat to our economy.

Bitcoin continues to set new records, passing $9,000 dollars this Monday.

At the beginning of the year it had a value of just $1,000 before a meteoric rise, nearing the $10.000 mark this Monday November 27.

This has lead to fervent debate amongst the experts as they continue to ponder whether a Crypto Coin bubble is being formed and if the current trend is sustainable, in the latter case, the question remains as to how this will affect electronic transactions in the years and decades to come.

Sunday, November 13, 2016

Predictions for the United States 2017



The year 2017 looks like being a very eventful one for the United States, not least due to the fact that a new President will be in place, Donald Trump.

Trump has indicated that he wishes to take the country in a very different direction compared to the last years and decades, as his campaign motto would indicate "make America great again".

Since his victory, protests have erupted across the country, from New York to Los Angeles, these undertaken by people upset by Trump`s stated policies, such as to construct a wall on the southern border of the US and to restrict immigration.

Another big event will be the total eclipse which will take part on August 21, the first of these such astronomical phenomenon to be seen in the United States since 1979. Only a small corridor of the US will see a full eclipse, although most of the country will see at least 80% of the sun covered by our natural satellite.

Friday, October 28, 2016

Predictions USA November 8 2016





There is a great degree of speculation as to who will triumph on this November 8 in the United States.

Until now it has been a pretty strange campaign, the 2 candidates have very high unfavorable ratings. Donald Trump has offended quite a few people with his declarations about illegal immigration and Muslims. Clinton on the other hand has a long political trajectory but also a lot of scandals.

Trump has a very strong base of support in certain sectors of the population, people were are very enthusiastic with his candidature, regularly 15,000 people or more.

On the other hand Clinton has been unable to garner the same amount of enthusiasm, however she appears to be winning in the polls at least, due to people who have a great deal of rejection for Trump.

Predictions Trump Clinton in Florida Election 2016





Historically Florida has been vital in determining presidential elections, given its very divided electorate and high number of electoral college votes.

Many recall the now infamous 2000 election when George W Bush defeated Al Gore here and swept to victory, after weeks of intense debate over whether or not the results were valid and while the recount was underway, Gore finally conceded the loss.

This year the race is once again tight with polls showing just a few points in it, in fact this is the latest RealClearPolitics Average.

RealClearPolitics Average (October 20-24)

Hillary Clinton   46.8%
Donald Trump   45.0%

Thursday, October 27, 2016

Donald Trump Predictions November 2016

With just a few days until voters in the country with the biggest economy in the world go to the polls, there are many questions swirling around, with few answers.

Donald Trump burst onto the political scene just over a year ago and immediately generated both very positive and negative emotions within the population.

He has received every acusation possible, from being called a racist, sexist, xenophobic and having his hollywood star smashed up with a man wielding a sledgehammer.

However many of his supporters have insisted that he is a visionary and is the only person who can save the United States.

Trump has been extremely critical of the press, to say the least. This appears to have brought about the fury of many journalists, who appear to be mostly backing Hillary Clinton.

According to the latest polls, Clinton is leading by between 3-10 points on a national level.

Solar Storm Today October 28 2016 Nasa

Many people are concerned following a recent order by Obama for various government agencies to prepare with a 120 day plan for before, during, and after a potential solar storm that could impact the planet.

In fact yesterday a solar storm began to hit the earth, although it was classified as a G2, which does not have a great capacity to affect the earth and eletronic systems and infrastructure.

The biggest solar storm on record was in 1859 when auroras borealis were see as far south as Cuba and Colombia and the telegraf systems, which were in their infancy, were badly damaged, causing fires in Europe and the United States.

Monday, October 3, 2016

Poll Trump vs Clinton October 4 2016





Neither candidate in this election campaign has been exempt from scandals and a great deal of mistrust from the public.

The recent first presidential debate has only served to further expand the devide within the two camps, Clinton went after Trump over his payment of taxes and that he should release his tax returns, Trump responded by saying he is under audit by the IRS and would release his tax returns when Clinton releases the 33,000 emails that she sent using a private server.

The debate doesn`t seem to have had a massive effect on the polling numbers, Clinton continues to lead by a solid margin, but still cannot break away from Trump.

RealClearPolitics (Average September 19- October 2)

Hillary Clinton   47.5%
Donald Trump   45.0%

Second Presidential Debate Format 19 October 2016





After a highly anticipated and heated first presidential debate, we will barely have time to catch our breath because the second debate will take place on October 19, just a few weeks away.

Certainly the first debate, which was viewed by some 100 million people via television and online media, was not exempt from controversy. After a good start, Donald Trump seemed to lose his way as he was mocked by Clinton about his tax returns and comments about women. Many in the Trump campaign have claimed that moderator Lester Holt was harsher on Trump compared to Clinton and "The Donald" also complained that his microphone had malfunctioned.

The second debate will have a Town Hall type format with undecided voters able to pose questions to the candidates during the first half of the event and then in the second the moderators will grill them with different questions.

The debate will take place at Washington University in St Louis and last for a total of 90 minutes beginning at 9pm ET, 8pm CT, 7pm MT and 6pm PT.

Poll Trump vs Clinton Arizona October 2016 Who is Winning





Arizona is considered a solidly republican state, in fact the democrats have only won one presidential election here since 1948. This said the polls are currently indicating quite a close race.

Trump has the advantage there is no doubt about that and due to history, it would be safe to assume that "The Donald" as his supporters know him, will triumph here this year.

However according to the RealClearPolitics average between August 17- September 8 Trump has an advantage of 1.6%.

Donald Trump   41.6%
Hillary Clinton   40.0%

It remains to be seen what will happen on election day, however this advantage is less than the margin of victory of McCain in 2008 (+8.5) and Romney in 2012 (+9.1).  

Latest Poll Trump vs Clinton October 4 2016





Who is currently ahead in the polls? Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton? Many polls are showing vastly different levels of support for each candidate but according to a running average of the last 10 polls calculated by the site RealClearPolitics, it is the democratic candidate who has the edge over the real estate mogul turned politician.

RealClearPolitics Average (Based on polls conducted between September 15-29)

Hillary Clinton   47.3%
Donald Trump   44.4%

This is a lead of 2.9% which is very significant in a presidential race, although many commentators have speculated that the focus that Trump is putting on certain swing states could make for a much closer race than many expect.

Ohio for example is a state that Trump must win if he is to have a chance to win the White House, and the last 5 reliable polls in that state show Trump with an advantage of between 1-5%. Ohio was won by the democrats in the 2012 election.

Florida is another must win for Trump but polls there show Trump and Clinton pretty much neck and neck, if we take an average of the last 6 reliable polls in the state, Clinton has a lead of just 1.2%, although this has fluctuated wildly in the last few weeks, with some surveys showing a lead of up to 4 points for the republican contender.

Wednesday, August 24, 2016

Polls Clinton vs Trump California August 2016





As would be expected, Hillary Clinton has a massive advantage over Trump in the polling for the presidential election in the state of California.

According to the latest RealClearPolitics average (which takes into account the last 5 reliable polls in the state conducted between May 19- July 19) Clinton has a lead of 22.2%.

During the primary campaign Trump was keen to stress that he could bring certain democrat states into play, which no other candidate could, such as New York. Despite that, California would probably be too ambitious even for the real estate mogul to contemplate.

The latest nationwide polls show Trump trailing Clinton by about 6 points, although many Trump supporters have questioned the veracity of the polling methods.

Trump vs Clinton Polls August 25 2016





After a tough few weeks for the Donald Trump campaign which has shown him down by 6 points on his rival Hillary Clinton, the republican candidate appears to have switched tactics, trying to attract more black voters to support him.

The latest RealClearPolitics average shows the following data

RealClearPolitics Average (August 1-22)

Hillary Clinton  47.0%
Donald Trump  41.5%


Many republicans have been highlighting the fact that in many democrat run cities with high african american communities murder rates and gun crime have been on the rise since last year, especially in Chicago and Baltimore and Trump is trying to appeal to disgruntled black voters in these areas, portraying himself as the "law and order" candidate.

Although black voters tend to vote democrat in overwhelming numbers, Trump appears to be betting that he can convince enough of them to vote Republican in order to boost his vote share in key swing states to triumph in this year`s election.

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Indiana Republican Polls GOP April 27 2016 Trump, Cruz






Voters in the state of Indiana will finally have their opportunity to express their opinions over which republican primary candidate best represents their views when they go to the polls on May 3.

The state, which comes late in the primary process and would usually be of little importance, has now been brought to centre stage, given the delicate nature of the race.

There are a total of 57 delegates that will be on offer and the state adopts a winner-take-all approach to their allocation. Meaning that whoever wins will walk away with 100% of the delegates.

According to the latest RealClearPolitics Average (April 18-22) it is Donald Trump who is making the running in the state, although his lead is not as impressive as it has been in some states. The businessman is at 39.3% followed by Cruz 33% and Kasich 19.3%.

Should Trump be victorious here then he will certainly maintain his hopes of obtaining the 1,237 delegates alive.

Thursday, March 31, 2016

Bernie Sanders Polls April 1 2016 Wisconsin





Love him or loathe him, most people agree that Bernie Sanders has added a new and interesting dimension to this years Democratic Primary race.

He is currently a long way behind Hillary Clinton in the delegate count, especially when superdelegates are factored in. However in a recent interview he observed "If you look at the map of primaries and caucuses, it turns out that the early states really do favor Secretary Clinton because a lot of those delegates came from the deep south". In reference to the superdelegates he also added "I think you are going to see some of them rethinking their commitment to Secretary Clinton if we can show that we are winning states around this country".

The next three states to go to the polls on the Democratic side are Wisconsin (April 5), Wyoming (April 9) and New York (April 19).

Wisconsin RealClearPolitics Average (March 20-28)

Hillary Clinton     47.5%
Bernie Sanders   46.5%


Wyoming 

No reliable data

New York RealClearPolitics Average (March 28-29) 

Hillary Clinton    60%
Bernie Sanders  33%


This average is based on wildly differing polls, for example an Emerson poll conducted between March 14-16 with a sample size of 298 and margin of error of 5.6% showed Clinton leading 71-23, a colossal 48 point lead. However, a poll conducted by Quinnipiac just one week later, March 22-29, Sample Size 693, Margin of Error 3.7%, showed Clinton leading 54-42.

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Wisconsin Republican Polls GOP March 31 2016





Lately the republican primary campaign has been rocked by a number of scandals that have made it even more unpredictable than it previously was.

A new poll coming out of the state of Wisconsin which votes on April 5 shows that there is a tight three way race taking place in the northern state.

Optimus Poll (sample size 6182, Margin of error 1.1%, conducted March 22-24)

Donald Trump    31%
John Kasich      29%
Ted Cruz           27%

Following the Primary in Wisconsin the next state to vote will be New York with 95 delegates to be won there in a winner-take-most format.

Clinton vs Cruz National Polls March 30 2016





In under 8 months time, Americans will vote on who they think their next president should be. Hillary Clinton is currently the frontrunner on the Democratic side and Donald Trump on the Republican side, there is however certain speculation as to whether or not he will obtain the 1,237 delegates he requires in order to secure the nomination.

If we take a hypothetical match up between Clinton for the democrats and Ted Cruz for the Republicans the polls indicate the following percentages.

RealClearPolitics Average (16-22 March)

Hillary Clinton   46.7%
Ted Cruz          43.8%

The polls currently indicate that Kasich would be the republican candidate that would do best against Clinton although it looks almost impossible that he can win the nomination.

Clinton vs Trump Polls March 30 2016






As the Democratic and Republican primaries roll on, the two frontrunners are Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

Should these two end up being the candidates for the presidential election there is little doubt that a controversial campaign would await us.

According to the latest average of polls on RealClearPolitics (Conducted between March 16-22) Clinton has a significant lead

RealClearPolitics Average

Hillary Clinton    50.0%
Donald Trump    38.8%

If remains to be seen if these results would be born out in the November election or even if Clinton and Trump will be the candidates running for office.

Wisconsin Republican Polls GOP March 30 2016





According to the latest polls Ted Cruz has closed the gap on Donald Trump within the last month, probably due to some candidates dropping out. Kasich has also jumped 11 points since the departure of Marco Rubio from the contest.

Emerson (20-23 March, 439 likely voters, Margin of Error 4.6%)

Ted Cruz         36%
Donald Trump  35%
John Kasich    19%

It is difficult to predict who the winner in this state will be and just a few percentage points can make a difference given that Wisconsin is a winner-take-all state and has 42 delegates up for grabs.

Wednesday, March 9, 2016

Trump Polls and Results March 2016




Donald Trump took to the stage in Jupiter Florida for a victory speech after a very successful day in the republican primaries on March 8. Trump won a total of 3 out of the 4 states on offer, Mississippi, Michigan and Hawaii, while Ted Cruz was victorious in Idaho.

Stating that it had been a "an amazing evening" before lamenting that he had not ever had "so many horrible horrible things said about me in one week". This after a flurry of negative ads added to the onslaught against him by former republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney.

Speaking before results in Hawaii were announced he said "I want to thank the public, I want to thank the people of Michigan, I want to thank the people of Mississippi and it such a great honor"

Here are the full results

Mississippi

Trump  47.3%
Cruz    36.3%
Kasich 8.8%
Rubio   5.1%

Michigan 

Trump  36.5%
Cruz    24.9%
Kasich 24.3%
Rubio   9.3%

Hawaii

Trump  42.4%
Cruz    32.7%
Rubio   13.1%
Kasich 10.6%

Idaho

Cruz    45.4%
Trump  28.1%
Rubio   15.9%
Kasich  7.4%



Tuesday, February 2, 2016

Predictions New Hampshire Sanders 2016





Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders were virtually tied in the state of Iowa after the votes had been counted. Most commentators agree that the result was very promising for the self-declared socialist, as he was expected to be beaten by Clinton by at least a few percentage points, the final margin of 0.2% in favor of Clinton bodes well for Sanders as the New Hampshire primary draws near, a state where polls show he has a massive lead.

According to the site realclearpolitics Sanders leads by between 8-33% depending on which poll you trust, that would appear to be a large margin of error, but the fact remains he is leading comfortably in all polls undertaken within the last few weeks. A turn around at this point looks unlikely baring some extraordinary event.

Prediction : Sanders wins New Hampshire