According to new polls Donald Trump is making serious inroads in Iowa, long considered one of the most volatile swing states in the country, Hillary Clinton boasted a lead of 5% here just a few months ago, however a new poll has the real estate mogul 8 points ahead.
Trump appears to be gaining great support among white voters in the state especially among the working class. Iowa is 92% white and many seem to have become disillusioned with the direction the country is taking and so have opted for a change. President Obama had 2 relatively comfortable wins here in 2008 and 2012 after 2 very close elections in 2000 and 2004.
There are a mere 6 electoral college votes available in the state, which would only make a difference in the case of a very tight race. Many commentators believe that winning here is much more important for Trump, as his path to victory is much more difficult than Clinton`s.
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Showing posts with label iowa. Show all posts
Showing posts with label iowa. Show all posts
Tuesday, September 20, 2016
Thursday, January 28, 2016
Hispanic Vote 2016 Poll Iowa
The Hispanic youth vote will be key in the upcoming US elections. People under 35 years will account for 44 percent of the more than 27 million Hispanic voters who will go to the polls this year, according to a study released Sunday by the Pew Research Center . This data shows that young Hispanics born from 1981 onwards in the group with greater presence within their group. Compare this to the same age group for other ethnicities, with black and Asian under 35s comprising 35% and white under 35s at just 27 percent.
Given the incredible growth in this particular demographic, the Hispanic electorate is projected to reach a record 11.9 per cent of the total number of voters in 2016, approaching the number of black voters, that has 12.4 per cent. The number of voters of this section of the population that participated in the past two elections grew from 9.7 million in 2008 to 11.2 million in 2012.
Etiquetas:
clinton,
hispanic vote,
iowa,
latino,
new hampshire,
poll,
sanders,
trump
Predictions Iowa Caucuses 1 February 2016
The republican field of precandidates for the presidency in 2016 is unusually big, at 12. Many people think that this will lead to divisions within the party, given that the the GOP establishment candidates are way down in the polls and people with little or no political experience, such as Donald Trump, are leading thus far.
The success of Bernie Sanders, who represents the democratic party, describing himself as a "Democrat Socialist" has been a great surprise, especially given that historically the term "socialist" has been avoided like the plague in election time. Although his frank message has found fertile ground within young people and liberals, his lack of experience in politics could be to his detriment.
Donald Trump has achieved a lot thus far, leading the republican polls in the United States despite having made a number of controversial comments that would have sunk other candidates. Even his adversaries admit that he has been adept at using social media to keep himself in the limelight.
Both republicans and democrats could end up with presidential candidates with enormous levels of rejection. According to a recent poll by NBC News/Wall Street Journal, almost half of voters have a negative opinion of Clinton and almost 6 in 10 a negative opinion of Trump.
Etiquetas:
caucuses,
democrats,
iowa,
predictions,
primaries,
republicans,
results,
sanders,
trump
Monday, January 18, 2016
Clinton vs Sanders Polls Iowa, New Hampshire January 2016
Hilary Clinton, who is the clear favorite to take the democratic nomination in 2016 has been dealt a slight blow by new polls showing Sanders narrowing the gap in the two crucial states of Iowa and New Hampshire.
Although Clinton still boasts an impressive lead in most states, she will be weary of a Sanders win in either Iowa or New Hampshire, or both. It would give much needed impetus to his campaign and may galvanize his supporters to believe they can pull off an impossible victory.
A poll in Iowa conducted by NBC and The Wall Street Journal shows Clinton leading 48%-45%, whereas a Fox News poll shows Sanders with an advantage of 50%-37% in New Hampshire, although most surveys indicate a much tighter race
Monday, January 11, 2016
Can Donald Trump win the Presidency in 2016?
Donald trump`s campaign has hitherto been a masterpiece in the art of defying the odds, pundits who last year were mocking and deriding the maverick billionaire have now been forced to concede he has a real chance of obtaining the republican nomination. He has completely dominated the political agenda, raising issues others shy away from, for fear of alienating parts of the electorate or appearing to be politically incorrect.
Other candidates within his party adopted the tactic of counterattacking, lying in wait in order to pounce open a word, statement or action that will prove his undoing. Jeb Bush who was the favorite of the GOP but is currently way down the field, has taken numerous swipes at Trump`s policy on immigration but all to no avail as of yet.
Ted Cruz has seen a large increase in support over the last month or so, as many voters may see him as a candidate with conservative views but not as polarizing as trump and thus more able to defeat the democrats. The political landscape still seems erratic and anything is possible especially as the primaries draw near, however at the current time Trump is favorite to be the republican nominee.
Etiquetas:
donald trump,
iowa,
jeb bush,
new hampshire,
predictions,
primaries,
ted cruz
Clinton vs Sanders Poll 2016 Elections
New polls coming out of the key states of Iowa and New Hampshire show Hilary Clinton and Bernie Sanders neck and neck. A Fox News poll even showed a lead of 50%-37% for Sanders in New Hampshire, whereas in November Sanders trailed 44%-45%.
Most polls however show the race as too close to call, The Wall Street Journal and NBC show Clinton leading 48%-45% in Iowa and 50%-46% in New Hampshire.
New Fox Poll Republican Primary 8 January 2016
A new poll dated January 8 is continues to show Donald Trump dominating the field for the republican nomination with Ted Cruz holding steady in second place.
Trump leads with an impressive 35% compared to 20% for Cruz. The full results are as follows:
Donald Trump 35%
Ted Cruz 20%
Marco Rubio 13%
Ben Carson 10%
Jeb Bush 4%
Carly Fiorina 3%
Chris Christie 2%
John Kasich 2%
Rand Paul 2%
As the Iowa Caucus draws near without doubt the rhetoric and personal attacks among candidates will be ratcheted up to fever pitch. As recently as a few weeks ago many polls were showing a clear lead for Cruz in key state, however according to recent surveys his advantage seems to be dwindling and the gap between him and Trump narrowing significantly. RealClearPolitics average has the lead at a mere 2.5%. In New Hampshire the situation is quite different with trump having a healthy lead.
Etiquetas:
cruz,
elections 2016,
iowa,
new hampshire,
republican primary,
rubio,
trump
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