Indiana Democratic Polls May 2 2016, Clinton, Sanders

The next stop on the Democratic Primary election trial is Indiana. There are 83 delegates that are on offer and the Primary takes place on May 3. According to the RealClearPolitics average between May 18-22, Hillary Clinton has an advantage over Bernie Sanders 47.7%-43.7%.

Following the victory of Clinton in New York there no longer appears to be any realistic route for Sanders to win the nomination.

Latest Polls Democratic Indiana

USA Today/Suffolk (April 8-24) Sample Size 363, Margin of Error 5.1%

Hillary Clinton    50%
Bernie Sanders  45%

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl (April 10-14) Sample Size 339, Margin of Error 5.3%

Hillary Clinton    50%
Bernie Sanders  48%

Fox News (April 11-13) Sample Size 450, Margin of Error 4.5%

Hillary Clinton    48%
Bernie Sanders  46%

Indiana Republican Polls GOP May 2 2016 Trump, Cruz

Indiana will go to the polls on May 3 in what is being seen as one of the most vital contests on the Republican Primary trail. Voters in the Hoosier state will finally have the chance to voice their opinions on who they want to represent the Republican Party in the upcoming november presidential election.

Should Donald Trump win in the state then it would open up a clear path to victory for him to obtain the 1,237 delegates that he requires.

NBC/WSJ/Marist (April 26-28), Sample Size 645, Margin of Error 3.9%

Donald Trump  49%
Ted Cruz         34%
John Kasich    13%

ARG (April 27-28), Sample Size 400, Margin of Error 5.0%

Donald Trump  41%
Ted Cruz         32%
John Kasich    23%

Clout Research (R) (April 27), Sample Size 423, Margin of Error 4.8%

Donald Trump  37%
Ted Cruz         35%
John Kasich    16%

Donald Trump Republican Delegate Count April 25 2016

As we enter the home straight in the Republican Primary campaign, the delegate count becomes ever more important as we look to see if Donald Trump can obtain the 1,237 that he needs or whether we are headed for a Contested Convention.

The system of delegate allocation differs from state to state which makes it very hard to make projections but one thing we do know, Cruz and Kasich have no chance of making it past the finish line before the Convention. This of course leaves two possibilities, a Trump victory or a Contested Convention.

The latest delegate count as of today April 24 according to AP is as follows

Donald Trump    845
Ted Cruz           559
John Kasich      148

This means that Trump requires 392 of the remaining delegates in order to secure the nomination. Many of the establishment figures within the Republican Party have publicly stated that even if Trump is just short, the rules must be followed and a Contested Convention awaits us.

New York Primary Exit Polls 19/4/2016

Today voters in the state of New York will have the opportunity to voice their opinions on who should represent their party in the 2016 presidential election.

On the Democrat side, Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton will battle it out in a race that is becoming closer than many analysts had at first thought. Excluding superdelegates, who support Clinton in overwhelming numbers and the race is pretty close.

As for the Republicans Donald Trump maintains a healthy lead in the delegate count but it remains to be seen whether or not he will reach the amount that he needs in order to put the nomination beyond doubt.

Recent polling suggest that Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the favorites going into the New York Primary but we will await the first exit polls to have an indication who is winning.

Can Donald Trump win the Republican Nomination 2016 ?

Donald Trump, the real estate mogul that has tapped into an undercurrent of anger in republican voters who are disillusioned with the establishment, continues to dominate the race to become the party`s nominee.

On the third super Tuesday of the campaign Trump was victorious in 4 of 5 states, accumulating a large quantity of delegates.

It remains to be seen whether or not he will obtain the necessary 1,237 delegates in order to secure outright the nomination or if we will see a brokered convention.

As of today (March 17) the delegate counts are as follows

Donald Trump   673
Ted Cruz          411
John Kasich     143

What do you think? Can Trump obtain the 1,237 delegates that he needs or are we heading for a contested convention?

Delegate Count Republican GOP March 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

So it was a hectic March 15 in which Donald Trump emerged triumphant but missed out on winning Ohio, losing to Governor John Kasich. Marco Rubio suspended his campaign shortly after the results in Florida were announced thus narrowing the field to 3.

The current delegate count (March 16) for each candidate is as follows

Donald Trump   646
Ted Cruz          397
John Kasich     142


On March 22 Arizona and Utah will go to the polls with 98 delegates up for grabs between the two states.

In Arizona there are 58 delegates are awarded on a winner-take-all basis and the latest polling shows Donald Trump with a substantial lead on 37.3% compared to Ted Cruz on 23.3%.

Utah employs the caucus format and there are 40 delegates awarded in a winner-take-most format.