Poll Trump vs Clinton September 29 2016

So we have had the first debate, Trump vs Clinton, a blockbuster showdown that attracted 100 million viewers, making it the most viewed in history.

Most people believe that Hillary Clinton emerged triumphant as Trump seemed to melt down about 30 minutes into the debate, having been the stronger during the first section.

According to the latest poll data the race remains a close run affair, although it is not clear how much Monday`s debate will affect the numbers.

RealClearPolitics Average

Hillary Clinton    46.7%
Donald Trump    44.4%

Iowa Polls Trump vs Clinton September 2016

According to new polls Donald Trump is making serious inroads in Iowa, long considered one of the most volatile swing states in the country, Hillary Clinton boasted a lead of 5% here just a few months ago, however a new poll has the real estate mogul 8 points ahead.

Trump appears to be gaining great support among white voters in the state especially among the working class. Iowa is 92% white and many seem to have become disillusioned with the direction the country is taking and so have opted for a change. President Obama had 2 relatively comfortable wins here in 2008 and 2012 after 2 very close elections in 2000 and 2004.

There are a mere 6 electoral college votes available in the state, which would only make a difference in the case of a very tight race. Many commentators believe that winning here is much more important for Trump, as his path to victory is much more difficult than Clinton`s.

Poll Trump vs Clinton Today September 17 2016

The presidential race, one of the most exciting in many years, appears to be tightening, as Hillary Clinton`s lead over republican candidate Donald Trump has shortened to a mere 2 points.

A new poll released by CBS News/New York Times shows Clinton on 46% with Trump on 44%.

In a four way race between Clinton, Trump, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein then Clinton and Trump are tied on 42% each among likely voters.

This new poll comes as the Clinton campaign has fallen into disarray after a video emerged on Sunday of the democratic candidate collapsing as she left the event for the ceremony to the victims of September 11. In addition to this Trump also appears to be surging in the key swing states of Florida and Ohio.

The poll was undertaken between 9-13 September of 1,753 adults nationwide, including 1,433 registered voters with a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

Clinton is Winning September 2016

As the presidential campaign continues to progress towards it`s conclusion with voting that will take place on November 8, both sides are becoming increasingly desperate to sway undecided voters, especially in key swing states.

Donald Trump has recently begun to reach out to the African American community repeatedly saying "What do you have to lose?", referring to the high crime rates and economic depression within the inner cities.

Clinton then went on the counter attack, claiming that a certain proportion of Trump voters were "deplorables" and "racists, sexists, homophobes, islamophobes, you name it", although she later apologized for the remarks.

Added to this, are now legitimate concerns about the Democrat Candidate`s health, after having left the 9/11 memorial service after feeling "unwell", a video later released showed her barely able to stand and being helped into a waiting van by a number of secret service agents.

The latest RealClearPolitics average (polls conducted between August 26- September 11)

Hillary Clinton  45.9%
Donald Trump  42.9%

Poll Trump vs Clinton September 9 2016

Donald Trump continues to close the gap with Hillary Clinton, according to the RealClearPolitics average, he is now just 2.8% behind.

RealClearPolitics Average 

Hillary Clinton   45.6%
Donald Trump   42.8%

Usually at this stage in a presidential race, the numbers start to tighten, so it is to be expected that the race will end up being closer than some of the polls have suggested.

Although Clinton has been leading in most polls, some people have questioned the veracity of the methods used, as some samples have been +15 democrat, which gives a skewed vision of the support of both candidates they claim.

One of the vital aspects of this election campaign may well be the debates, with record numbers expected to tune in. The first debate will take place on September 26.

Chicago Murder Rate September 2016

Shootings and homicides in the city of Chicago have massively escalated during 2016 compared to the previous year. Many are attributing this to the so called "Ferguson effect" which suggests that due to increased scrutiny of the police following the 2014 shooting of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri, police have been more cautious to use force to deter crime, thus leading to an increase in the murder rate in certain areas.

Chicago has been in the news for a number of years due to its high murder and gun crime rates, however this had been slowly decreasing until the last few years. According to the Chicago Tribune, which catalogues shootings and murders in the city, last year there were a total of 490 homicides, however this year there have already been a total of 464, with 4 months still left, a substantial increase.

A total of 2,988 people were shot in the city last year compared to 2,808 so far this year. So far in August there have been 65 homicides (As of August 28). UPDATE : A total of 92 homicides were recorded in August, making it the most deadly month in 20 years in the city.

Poll Trump vs Clinton September 6 2016

New polling data would appear to indicate that Donald Trump has managed to chip into Hillary Clinton`s lead slightly.

A few weeks ago the RealClearPolitics Average had her 6 points in front, whereas today that lead has shrunk to just 3.9 points.

RealClearPolitics Average (August 22- September 2)

Hillary Clinton  46.0%
Donald Trump  42.1%

Many Trump critics have pointed to his inability to exceed 42-43% in the polls, suggesting that this may be his ceiling. The businessman was briefing leading in opinion polls following the RNC, however this bump quickly evaporated and Clinton once again retook the lead.

The first presidential debate will take place on September 26 and with many people still undecided, it could prove to be a decisive moment in the campaign.