Utah Results Republican Caucus March 22 2016

The Utah Caucuses are taking place today in what is considered a vital contest in order to pick the republican candidate that will contest the Presidential Election against either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders.

A shock new poll released within the last few days shows that Ted Cruz has made substantial progress in the state, which is home to a large Mormon community.

A new poll released in the last few days show Cruz with 53% of the vote, followed by Kasich on 29% while Donald Trump surprisingly is languishing in third place with a mere 11%.

It will be interesting to note if these numbers are repeated when the results start coming in, especially due to the fact that if Cruz exceeds 50% of the vote then he will obtain all 40 delegates from the state.

Utah Republican Exit Polls March 22 2016

Utah goes to the polls today in what is seen as a vital contest within the Republican race.

Out of 17 candidates that started in the race only 3 remain, businessman Donald Trump, Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Ohio Governor John Kasich.

If we take one of the latest polls from the state we see strong support for Ted Cruz,

Ted Cruz         53%
John Kasich     29%
Donald Trump   11%

Many commentators have highlighted that Donald Trump, despite high polls numbers in the majority of states, doesn`t do very well with very religious mormons who instead throw their support behind Ted Cruz.

As soon as the first exit polls start coming in their will be published live here.

Utah Republican Poll GOP March 21 2016

A new poll coming from the state of Utah today shows that Ted Cruz is dominating and Donald Trump floundering.

According to the poll conducted by Y2 Analytics between March 17-19 of 500 likely caucus goers by telephone, Ted Cruz obtained a massive 53% of the preferences followed by Kasich on 29% and Trump on 11%.

Should this result materialize on caucus day then it would be very significant, given that breaking the 50% barrier would entitle Cruz to all of the state`s 40 delegates.

Currently Donald Trump is leading in terms of delegates with 678 followed by Cruz on 423 and Kasich on 143, it remains to be seen whether or not the charismatic businessman can obtain the 1,237 delegates needed to secure the nomination and avoid a brokered convention.

Republican Polls GOP March 21 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

The Republican race to become the party`s nominee for the presidential elections in 2016 is hotting up. It would now appear that there are only two possible outcomes to the primaries, that Trump reaches the 1,237 he requires and becomes the party`s nominee, or he doesn`t and in that case a contested convention awaits.

Here we will leave you with the latest polls in Arizona and Utah, the next states to vote.

Arizona March 22 (RealClearPolitics Average)

Donald Trump 34%
Ted Cruz        21%
John Kasich   12.5%

Utah March 22 (Y2 Analytics)

Ted Cruz          53%
John Kasich      29%
Donald Trump   11%

Predictions Utah Republican GOP 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

The Utah Republican Presidential Caucus is swiftly approaching and 40 vital delegates are up for grabs. The question is, who will triumph in the state?

Not much polling has been done here but at the beginning of January a poll of 415 likely republican voters showed a four way split between Rubio 15%, Cruz 18%, Trump 17% and Carson 15%. After the withdrawal of Rubio and Carson from the race it is now likely to be a battle between Cruz and Trump although Kasich is likely to see his percentage rise from the 1% he was polling earlier in the year.

Ted Cruz should win the state rather easily as Mormon voters who consider themselves very religious tend to shy away from voting for Trump. Many commentators have noted this trend which could wreck any hopes the business mogul has for a victory here.