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Showing posts with label primary. Show all posts
Showing posts with label primary. Show all posts

Monday, April 25, 2016

Rhode Island Exit Polls Republican Primary 26 April 2016





The tiny state of Rhode Island is often overlooked in Primary Campaigns, both due to its size and also the late date of voting here. This year however things are a little different, every delegate counts and so there is more focus on the state than there would usually be.

Recent polls have shown that Donald Trump is firmly in the lead in this state with anywhere between 38-61%. There are 19 delegates available in the state which are allocated in a proportional manner.

It would appear that Trump has a very good chance of winning in all 5 states as polls show him ahead in all of them. Should this happen he will definitely keep alive his hopes of obtaining the 1,237 delegates that are needed in order to confirm the nomination.

As soon as the first exit polls and results are available for the state of Rhode Island, they will be published here.

Maryland Exit Polls Republican April 26 2016






The last few weeks have been rather hectic in the Republican Primaries, with Ted Cruz winning in Utah, Wisconsin and Colorado. However, businessman Donald Trump had his revenge in New York winning almost all of the available delegates.

In the midst of this, John Kasich continues in the race, despite having won only one state and seemingly having no chance of repeating his victory in Ohio.

Things are now perfectly poised going into yet another "Super Tuesday" on April 26, where a total of 5 states will cast their ballots. If recently polling is to be trusted then it is once again Trump with the upper hand, leading by vast margins in most of these areas.

As soon as the first exit polls and results are available they will be published here.

Monday, April 11, 2016

Predictions Republican Primary New York 2016 Date


The next important date in the Republican Primary calendar is April 19, when New York goes to the polls. Texas Senator Ted Cruz has achieved some important victories in the last few primaries in Wisconsin and Utah, while Donald Trump took Arizona.

Taking a look at the latest polls Trump has a solid lead over Cruz and Kasich.

Fox News, April 4-7, Sample Size 602, Margin of Error 4.0%

Donald Trump   54%
John Kasich     22%
Ted Cruz          15%

Emerson April 6-7, Sample Size 321, Margin of Error 5.4%

Donald Trump   56%
Ted Cruz          22%
John Kasich     17%

Monmouth April 3-5, Sample Size 302, Margin of Error 5.6%

Donald Trump   52%
John Kasich     25%
Ted Cruz          17%

Were Trump to win in New York by a significant margin then he would take the majority of the 95 delegates in the state.

Tuesday, April 5, 2016

Who is Winning in Wisconsin 5 April 2016

We are currently awaiting the first results for the State of Wisconsin in the Republican and Democratic Primaries.

Wisconsin is the only state that goes to the polls today and as such has garnered a great amount of attention.

According to the latest polls for the Republican side, Ted Cruz has an advantage over businessman Donald Trump, the polls on the Democrat side indicate an advantage for Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders.

The first results are expected later tonight and as soon as they are available they will be published here.

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

Illinois Results Republican GOP March 15 2016





Illinois is one of 5 states that go to the polls today in what is being described as a vital moment in the republican race to become the party`s nominee for the presidential election this year.

69 delegates are on offer in the state and according to the RealClearPolitics average taken between 3/4-3/11 Donald Trump has a moderate advantage over Ted Cruz.

The republican campaign has become increasingly messy over the last few weeks as it becomes abundantly apparent that real estate mogul Donald Trump is not going away. Since then the attacks upon him by the establishment have become increasingly ferocious, exemplified by Mitt Romney`s intervention.

As soon as the results for Illinois are available they will be published here

Monday, March 14, 2016

Results Ohio Republican March 15 2016 Trump, Kasich, Cruz, Rubio






Ohio is considered perhaps the most important contest of the day due to the narrow polling margin between the two frontrunners in the state, Donald Trump and Ohio Governor John Kasich.

The latest RealClearPolitics indicates the following percentages

John Kasich     36.8%
Donald Trump   33.6%
Ted Cruz          19.2%
Marco Rubio     5.2%


Whoever emerges victorious in the state will obtain all of the 66 candidates on offer as Ohio has a winner-take-all format, making it all the more important. Many commentators have stated that should Trump win Florida and Ohio then he will be well on his way to obtaining the nomination, although others have suggested he may fall just short of the 1,237 delegates that he requires, thus heralding in a brokered convention.

Whatever happens, you can follow the results here live as they come in.

John Kasich      46.8%
Donald Trump  35.6%
Ted Cruz          13.1%
Marco Rubio    2.9%


Sunday, March 13, 2016

Ohio Republican Poll GOP March 14 2016





The Republican Primary in Ohio appears to be a two horse race between current frontrunner Donald Trump and the state governor John Kasich.

The state seems to be of vital importance given that it is designated winner-take-all and 66 delegates are available. Many commentators think that should Trump win the state then he will be well on his way to winning the nomination of the Republican Party.

Latest Polls (RealClearPolitics Average 3/2-3/8)

Trump   36.5%
Kasich  34%
Cruz     16.3%
Rubio    7%

Saturday, February 13, 2016

Republican Debate Live 2 / 13 / 2016





The last debate before the South Carolina primary is upon us and the line up has already been released. Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson and John Kasich will all take to the stage in what promises to be a fiery encounter with so much still to play for.

Recent polling shows that public opinion in the state has remained consistent for some months, with Trump holding a sizable lead over his main challenger. The business mogul is at 36% with Ted Cruz coming in at 19%. If Trump can avoid any slip ups then we will most likely be in for a repeat of the New Hampshire results. The interesting thing to note will be which candidate emerges as the main challenger to Trump looking forward to making a move in the southern states, hitherto Cruz and Rubio are the most likely. However the latter suffered a serious setback in New Hampshire leading many to question whether he can regain momentum or if he has suffered a fatal blow.

You can catch the debate on CBS at 8pm CST on CBS.

Tuesday, February 2, 2016

Predictions New Hampshire Primary 2016, Trump, Cruz, Rubio





So the results are in from Iowa, Ted Cruz has managed to win the state despite polls showing him a few percentage points adrift of Trump. Marco Rubio also had a shock result, he was expected to come third, however his share of the vote was a full 10 points above his polling. Many commentators consider Rubio to be the preferred candidate of the GOP establishment.

Iowa is considered an important state to win as it gives a candidate momentum going into New Hampshire and energize his or her vote. Despite this, on the republican side Iowa doesn't have a very good track record of predicting the winner over the last few years.

The fact that Trump didn't triumph in Iowa makes New Hampshire vital for his campaign, failure to win there could spell the end of any realistic opportunity that the businessman has to win the nomination. He currently has a lead of up to 20 points in that state (According to polls conducted within the last week). It will be interesting to see what impact, if any, yesterdays result has on the standings there.

Prediction : Trump wins New Hampshire