Who is Winning in Wisconsin 5 April 2016

We are currently awaiting the first results for the State of Wisconsin in the Republican and Democratic Primaries.

Wisconsin is the only state that goes to the polls today and as such has garnered a great amount of attention.

According to the latest polls for the Republican side, Ted Cruz has an advantage over businessman Donald Trump, the polls on the Democrat side indicate an advantage for Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders.

The first results are expected later tonight and as soon as they are available they will be published here.

Exit Polls Wisconsin Democratic 5 April 2016 Sanders, Clinton

Today Wisconsin goes to the polls in the Democratic Primary, with Bernie Sanders taking on Hillary Clinton in what is likely to be an enthralling contest.

According to the latest average of polls on the site RealClearPolitics, Sanders has a slim advantage over Clinton, leading her by 47.9%-45.3%, winning by 2.6%.

There are 86 delegates up for grabs on voting day and Sanders will be looking to narrow the gap between him and the former First Lady and Secretary of State, as Clinton has a handy advantage in the current delegate count.

Much of Clinton`s lead comes from Superdelegates who opt to support her instead of Sanders, however in a recent interview, Sanders said he believes some of the Superdelegates will start coming over to his side, should he start winning more states.

Exit Polls Republican Wisconsin April 5 2016 Trump, Cruz

The big day has finally arrived, it has been a long time since the last republican primaries on March 22 but today Wisconsin goes to the polls.

On the Republican Side, which started out with 17 candidates has now been wittled down to only 3, businessman Donald Trump, Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Ohio Governor John Kasich.

According to polls conducted within the last week, Ted Cruz is leading Donald Trump but as we know, the only poll that matters is the one that takes place on election day.

As soon as the first results are available they will be published here.

Ted Cruz Polls April 4 2016 Wisconsin

Ted Cruz is up in the state of Wisconsin according to the latest polls.

CBS News/You Gov Poll, March 29-April 1, Sample Size 675, Margin of Error 5.7%

Ted Cruz          43%
Donald Trump   37%
John Kasich     18%

Fox Business Poll, March 28-30, Sample Size 742, Margin of Error 3.5%

Ted Cruz          42%
Donald Trump   32%
John Kasich     19%

Tomorrow voters from in the Badger State will have the opportunity to select their favored candidate in the Republican race and as the only Primary taking place, it has earned a lot of media attention.

Prior to the last few weeks businessman Donald Trump was leading here, however Cruz appears to have benefited from the departure of Marco Rubio from the race and recent controversies.

Whoever wins will take all 42 delegates and in what is sure to be a dramatic day.

Donald Trump Polls April 4 2016 Wisconsin

The latest polls show Donald Trump in trouble in Wisconsin, having fallen behind Ted Cruz, however "The Donald" as he is known by his supporters, maintains a strong lead in the state of New York, which has its Primary on April 19.

The more urgent concern for Trump is winning in Wisconsin and he probably would have counted on doing so until the last week or so. Ted Cruz has been gradually extending his lead and looks to be the favorite, although the pollsters have gotten it wrong various times during the current campaign.

RealClearPolitics Average indicates the following for Wisconsin

RealClearPolitics Average (March 24-April 1)

Ted Cruz         40.2%
Donald Trump  33.4%
John Kasich    18.6%

Trump`s popularity in New York however seems to be imperious

New York RealClearPolitics Average (March 22-April 1)

Donald Trump  53.3%
John Kasich    21,3%
Ted Cruz         19%

Donald Trump Polls April 2 2016, Wisconsin, New York

Donald Trump, the real estate mogul that has sparked controversy in this year`s republican race, continues to do well according to polls, although there are some indications that he is behind Texas Senator Ted Cruz in the state of Wisconsin.

Latest Polls Wisconsin

Fox Business Poll (March 28-30) Margin of Error 3.5% Sample Size 742

Ted Cruz          42%
Donald Trump   32%
John Kasich     19%

PPP (March 28-29) Margin of Error 3.5% Sample Size 768

Ted Cruz          38%
Donald Trump   37%
John Kasich     17%

In New York however it`s a totally different story with Trump dominating

Latest Polls New York

Liberty Research Poll (24-26 March) Margin of Error 3.0% Sample Size 1796

Donald Trump   55%
John Kasich     22%
Ted Cruz          19%

Quinnipiac Poll (22-29 March) Margin of Error 4.6% Sample Size 457

Donald Trump   56%
Ted Cruz          20%
John Kasich     19%

In New York 95 delegates are available and it is a winner-take-most state.

Republican Polls April 2 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

There are now only 3 competitors left in the republican race, businessman Donald Trump, Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Ohio Governor John Kasich.

The 3 men will now do battle in the remaining primaries, starting with Wisconsin on April 5 where 42 delegates are on offer in a winner-take-all format.

Donald Trump has been leading in the polls for months in the state although following the suspension of Marco Rubio's campaign the race seems to have tightened and many polls have Ted Cruz leading.

Fox Business Poll (March 28-30) Margin of Error 3.5% Sample Size 742

Ted Cruz          42%
Donald Trump   32%
John Kasich     19%

PPP (March 28-29) Margin of Error 3.5% Sample Size 768

Ted Cruz          38%
Donald Trump   37%
John Kasich     17%

Republican Polls GOP April 2 2016 Wisconsin

Donald Trump took to the stage for yet another event in this long primary season. "The Donald" touched down in Appleton Wisconsin and talked to the crowds that had gathered at the Radisson Paper Valley Hotel in order to hear him speak.

According to the latest polls from the state of Wisconsin Texas Senator Ted Cruz has begun to gain the upper hand and now leads Donald Trump.


RealClearPolitics Average (19-30 March)


Ted Cruz         36.5%

Donald Trump  32.7%

John Kasich    21%

Should these numbers be repeated on election day then Cruz will take the 42 delegates in the state due to the fact that Wisconsin is a winner-take-all state.

The next state to vote after Wisconsin will be New York where 95 delegates are available and polls show Trump with a massive lead.

Republican Polls GOP April 1 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

As we approach the date for the Republican Wisconsin Primary, the controversy that has swirled around the campaign reaches fever pitch.

There is no doubt that the agenda is being set by Trump, who thrives upon creating controversy and being attacked by the media, both left and right. This appeals to his core supporters who feel they are not represented by Washington and the establishment.

Ted Cruz has positioned himself as the main contender to the business mogul, becoming a more palatable candidate for the "anybody but Trump" lobby.

Kasich continues to trundle on, mopping up the more moderate republican voters since the departure of Marco Rubio from the race.

Wisconsin Primary  (42 delegates)

Wisconsin is a winner-take-all state and takes place on April 5

Marquette Poll 

March 24-28, Sample Size 471, Margin of Error 5.8%

Ted Cruz            40%
Donald Trump     30%
John Kasich       21%

Optimus Poll

March 22-24, Sample Size 6182, Margin of Error 1.1%

Donald Trump    31%
John Kasich      29%
Ted Cruz           27%

Emerson Poll 

March 20-22, Sample Size 439, Margin of Error 4.6%

Ted Cruz          36%
Donald Trump   35%
John Kasich     19%

Bernie Sanders Polls April 1 2016 Wisconsin

Love him or loathe him, most people agree that Bernie Sanders has added a new and interesting dimension to this years Democratic Primary race.

He is currently a long way behind Hillary Clinton in the delegate count, especially when superdelegates are factored in. However in a recent interview he observed "If you look at the map of primaries and caucuses, it turns out that the early states really do favor Secretary Clinton because a lot of those delegates came from the deep south". In reference to the superdelegates he also added "I think you are going to see some of them rethinking their commitment to Secretary Clinton if we can show that we are winning states around this country".

The next three states to go to the polls on the Democratic side are Wisconsin (April 5), Wyoming (April 9) and New York (April 19).

Wisconsin RealClearPolitics Average (March 20-28)

Hillary Clinton     47.5%
Bernie Sanders   46.5%


Wyoming 

No reliable data

New York RealClearPolitics Average (March 28-29) 

Hillary Clinton    60%
Bernie Sanders  33%


This average is based on wildly differing polls, for example an Emerson poll conducted between March 14-16 with a sample size of 298 and margin of error of 5.6% showed Clinton leading 71-23, a colossal 48 point lead. However, a poll conducted by Quinnipiac just one week later, March 22-29, Sample Size 693, Margin of Error 3.7%, showed Clinton leading 54-42.

Hillary Clinton Polls Democratic April 1 2016

According to what we have seen thus far in the Democratic Primaries, Hillary Clinton is the favorite to win and face the republican nominee in November`s Presidential Election.

There appears to be a definite divide, with Clinton dominating the southern states and Bernie Sanders in the north. Winning important states such as Texas and Florida has allowed Clinton to open up a lead in the delegate count of 1,243-980. When superdelegates are factored in the lead grows to an even more impressive 1,712-1,011.

Sanders has argued that he can still win as the coming states will favor him instead of Clinton and some of the superdelegates may then switch their allegiance. However, with New York coming up and polls showing Clinton leading, this looks to be a long shot.

Democratic Polls April 1 2016 Clinton Sanders

As the democratic primaries enter the home straight, the battle intensifies. Hillary Clinton is current leading  having secured more delegates than her opponent Bernie Sanders.

Sanders however is not giving up, suggesting that his strongest states are still to come and a flow of victories for his side could alter the allegiances of the superdelegates that are currently supporting Clinton in overwhelming numbers.

During April a number of vital states go to the polls:

April 5

Wisconsin

April 9

Wyoming

April 19

New York

April 26

Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island


Clinton Currently has won 1,243 delegates compared with 980 for Sanders, however Clinton has the loyalty of 469 superdelegates while only 31 support Sanders, meaning the estimated count is 1,712-1,011.

Republican Polls Donald Trump April 1 2016 Wisconsin

Businessman Donald Trump continues to wreak havoc within the Republican Party, nonchalantly whipping up scandal and controversy.

Following his campaign manager being charged for simple battery of Breitbart reporter Michelle Fields you would have been forgiven for thinking the "The Donald" would lay low for a while, however he instead opted to launch himself into the abortion issue, stating that there should be "some form of punishment" for women who have an abortion. He lately clarified his position "The doctor or any other person performing this illegal act upon a woman would be held legally responsible, not the woman".

Trump`s rejection of political correctness has gained him many voters, who are fed up with the establishment and media. He currently has a big lead in the delegate count over nearest rival over Ted Cruz. His controversial approach has also won him many detractors who are leading figures within the republican party such as Mitt Romney.

There is some doubt as to whether or not Trump can reach the 1,237 delegates he requires in order to secure the republican nomination, should he not pass this magic number then a contested convention awaits.

Wisconsin is the next state to go to the polls and it looks like a tight race.


Marquette Poll 

March 24-28, Sample Size 471, Margin of Error 5.8%

Ted Cruz            40%
Donald Trump     30%
John Kasich       21%

Optimus Poll

March 22-24, Sample Size 6182, Margin of Error 1.1%

Donald Trump    31%
John Kasich      29%
Ted Cruz           27%

Emerson Poll 

March 20-22, Sample Size 439, Margin of Error 4.6%

Ted Cruz          36%
Donald Trump   35%
John Kasich     19%

Wisconsin Republican Poll GOP April 1 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

The Republican race continues to be a highly charged and controversial affair. Donald Trump in particular has made headlines, first his campaign manager Corey Lewandoski was charged with one count of simple battery in connection to an incident with Breitbart reporter Michelle Fields.

Trump, not content with only one controversy per week, then ploughed headlong into the ever delicate topic of abortion, suggesting that there should be "some form of punishment" for women who undergo the procedure, although he later clarified that "The doctor or any other person performing this illegal act upon a woman would be held legally responsible, not the woman".

Ted Cruz, seemingly jealous of the massive media coverage that politically incorrect Trump is enjoying, decided to fight fire with fire and on the Jimmy Kimmel Live show jested "If I were in my car and getting ready to reverse and saw Donald in the backup camera, I’m not confident which pedal I’d push". Although it was clearly said in tone of joking, it will do nothing to calm the increasingly toxic republican race, in which Kasich takes a calm approach while Cruz and Trump trade blows and accusations, in which even their wives have been fair game.

According to polls in the state of Wisconsin there is still everything to play for.

The RealClearPolitics average of polls indicates the following percentages

Ted Cruz          34.8%
Donald Trump   31.8%
John Kasich     22.5%

Although an optimus poll with a very high sample size (6182)  and 1.1% margin of error provided the following results

Donald Trump  31%
John Kasich    29%
Ted Cruz         27%
Undecided       13%

Ted Cruz Republican GOP Polls April 1 2016

During a turbulent campaign in which Donald Trump has dominated, Ted Cruz has positioned himself as the main challenger to the charismatic real estate mogul.

The Texas Senator currently trails by almost 300 delegates, however some doubt has emerged as to whether Trump can obtain the 1,237 delegates he requires in order to win the nomination. The prospect of a contested convention looms large upon the horizon and this threatens to highlight big divides within the party.

Cruz has recently backtracked on his pledge to support the nominee saying I'm not in the habit of supporting somebody who attacks my wife and attacks my family" before adding "Listen, I think nominating Donald Trump would be an absolute trainwreck"

Wisconsin polling

Marquette Poll 

March 24-28, Sample Size 471, Margin of Error 5.8%

Ted Cruz            40%
Donald Trump     30%
John Kasich       21%

Optimus Poll

March 22-24, Sample Size 6182, Margin of Error 1.1%

Donald Trump    31%
John Kasich      29%
Ted Cruz           27%

Emerson Poll 

March 20-22, Sample Size 439, Margin of Error 4.6%

Ted Cruz          36%
Donald Trump   35%
John Kasich     19%

Wisconsin Republican Polls GOP March 31 2016

Lately the republican primary campaign has been rocked by a number of scandals that have made it even more unpredictable than it previously was.

A new poll coming out of the state of Wisconsin which votes on April 5 shows that there is a tight three way race taking place in the northern state.

Optimus Poll (sample size 6182, Margin of error 1.1%, conducted March 22-24)

Donald Trump    31%
John Kasich      29%
Ted Cruz           27%

Following the Primary in Wisconsin the next state to vote will be New York with 95 delegates to be won there in a winner-take-most format.

Clinton vs Cruz National Polls March 30 2016

In under 8 months time, Americans will vote on who they think their next president should be. Hillary Clinton is currently the frontrunner on the Democratic side and Donald Trump on the Republican side, there is however certain speculation as to whether or not he will obtain the 1,237 delegates he requires in order to secure the nomination.

If we take a hypothetical match up between Clinton for the democrats and Ted Cruz for the Republicans the polls indicate the following percentages.

RealClearPolitics Average (16-22 March)

Hillary Clinton   46.7%
Ted Cruz          43.8%

The polls currently indicate that Kasich would be the republican candidate that would do best against Clinton although it looks almost impossible that he can win the nomination.

Republican GOP Polls March 30 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

Wisconsin is next up and the republican candidates will do battle here in a winner-take-all contest.

According to the latest polls Ted Cruz has closed the gap on Donald Trump within the last month, probably due to some candidates dropping out. Kasich has also jumped 11 points since the departure of Marco Rubio from the contest.

Emerson (20-23 March, 439 likely voters, Margin of Error 4.6%)

Ted Cruz         36%
Donald Trump  35%
John Kasich    19%

It is difficult to predict who the winner in this state will be and just a few percentage points can make a difference given that Wisconsin is a winner-take-all state and has 42 delegates up for grabs.

Republican Polls GOP March 29 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

Republican Polls within the last few weeks show that the battle between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz is intensifying.

In the state of Wisconsin which is the next state to go to the polls on April 5 a new Emerson poll has showed that Trump and Cruz are neck and neck, this is a marked change from a poll in February which showed Trump with a big lead.

The poll shows Cruz on 36% just above Trump who obtained 35% and Kasich in third with 19%.

In New York however the situation is very different with Donald Trump in an extremely powerful position, leading with 64% of the vote, Cruz on 15% and Kasich on just 1%.

In New York a total of 95 delegates are up for grabs, making it a vital stop on the election campaign.

Republican Polls GOP March 25 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

New polling data has emerged that shows Donald Trump continuing to dominate in key states ahead of the final few months of Republican Primaries.

Trump, who is considered to be somewhat of a maverick by many in the party has shocked all of the pundits by winning state after state and now leads the delegate count by a significant amount.

Whether or not he can obtain the 1,237 delegates required to secure the nomination remains to be seen, however out of the 3 candidates who are left, he looks the most likely to do so.


Wisconsin (Marquette Poll 2/18-2/21)

Donald Trump  30%
Ted Cruz         19%
John Kasich      8%


New York

Donald Trump  54.5%
Ted Cruz         11.5%
John Kasich      9.5%


California

Donald Trump   31.5%
Ted Cruz          21%
John Kasich     17.5%