Conventionfacts.org New Website GOP Contested Convention

The GOP appears to be reading itself for a contested convention, a new site has been lauched in order to inform republicans of the rules that must be adhered to in case of a contested or brokered convention.

There is some doubt as to whether any one candidate will obtain the 1,237 delegates required in order to secure the nomination of the party and therefore it will have to be decided at the convention.

Currently Donald Trump is leading in the delegate count as we enter the last few months of voting.

Republican Polls GOP April 1 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

As we approach the date for the Republican Wisconsin Primary, the controversy that has swirled around the campaign reaches fever pitch.

There is no doubt that the agenda is being set by Trump, who thrives upon creating controversy and being attacked by the media, both left and right. This appeals to his core supporters who feel they are not represented by Washington and the establishment.

Ted Cruz has positioned himself as the main contender to the business mogul, becoming a more palatable candidate for the "anybody but Trump" lobby.

Kasich continues to trundle on, mopping up the more moderate republican voters since the departure of Marco Rubio from the race.

Wisconsin Primary  (42 delegates)

Wisconsin is a winner-take-all state and takes place on April 5

Marquette Poll 

March 24-28, Sample Size 471, Margin of Error 5.8%

Ted Cruz            40%
Donald Trump     30%
John Kasich       21%

Optimus Poll

March 22-24, Sample Size 6182, Margin of Error 1.1%

Donald Trump    31%
John Kasich      29%
Ted Cruz           27%

Emerson Poll 

March 20-22, Sample Size 439, Margin of Error 4.6%

Ted Cruz          36%
Donald Trump   35%
John Kasich     19%

Bernie Sanders Polls April 1 2016 Wisconsin

Love him or loathe him, most people agree that Bernie Sanders has added a new and interesting dimension to this years Democratic Primary race.

He is currently a long way behind Hillary Clinton in the delegate count, especially when superdelegates are factored in. However in a recent interview he observed "If you look at the map of primaries and caucuses, it turns out that the early states really do favor Secretary Clinton because a lot of those delegates came from the deep south". In reference to the superdelegates he also added "I think you are going to see some of them rethinking their commitment to Secretary Clinton if we can show that we are winning states around this country".

The next three states to go to the polls on the Democratic side are Wisconsin (April 5), Wyoming (April 9) and New York (April 19).

Wisconsin RealClearPolitics Average (March 20-28)

Hillary Clinton     47.5%
Bernie Sanders   46.5%


Wyoming 

No reliable data

New York RealClearPolitics Average (March 28-29) 

Hillary Clinton    60%
Bernie Sanders  33%


This average is based on wildly differing polls, for example an Emerson poll conducted between March 14-16 with a sample size of 298 and margin of error of 5.6% showed Clinton leading 71-23, a colossal 48 point lead. However, a poll conducted by Quinnipiac just one week later, March 22-29, Sample Size 693, Margin of Error 3.7%, showed Clinton leading 54-42.

Hillary Clinton Polls Democratic April 1 2016

According to what we have seen thus far in the Democratic Primaries, Hillary Clinton is the favorite to win and face the republican nominee in November`s Presidential Election.

There appears to be a definite divide, with Clinton dominating the southern states and Bernie Sanders in the north. Winning important states such as Texas and Florida has allowed Clinton to open up a lead in the delegate count of 1,243-980. When superdelegates are factored in the lead grows to an even more impressive 1,712-1,011.

Sanders has argued that he can still win as the coming states will favor him instead of Clinton and some of the superdelegates may then switch their allegiance. However, with New York coming up and polls showing Clinton leading, this looks to be a long shot.

Democratic Polls April 1 2016 Clinton Sanders

As the democratic primaries enter the home straight, the battle intensifies. Hillary Clinton is current leading  having secured more delegates than her opponent Bernie Sanders.

Sanders however is not giving up, suggesting that his strongest states are still to come and a flow of victories for his side could alter the allegiances of the superdelegates that are currently supporting Clinton in overwhelming numbers.

During April a number of vital states go to the polls:

April 5

Wisconsin

April 9

Wyoming

April 19

New York

April 26

Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island


Clinton Currently has won 1,243 delegates compared with 980 for Sanders, however Clinton has the loyalty of 469 superdelegates while only 31 support Sanders, meaning the estimated count is 1,712-1,011.

Republican Polls Donald Trump April 1 2016 Wisconsin

Businessman Donald Trump continues to wreak havoc within the Republican Party, nonchalantly whipping up scandal and controversy.

Following his campaign manager being charged for simple battery of Breitbart reporter Michelle Fields you would have been forgiven for thinking the "The Donald" would lay low for a while, however he instead opted to launch himself into the abortion issue, stating that there should be "some form of punishment" for women who have an abortion. He lately clarified his position "The doctor or any other person performing this illegal act upon a woman would be held legally responsible, not the woman".

Trump`s rejection of political correctness has gained him many voters, who are fed up with the establishment and media. He currently has a big lead in the delegate count over nearest rival over Ted Cruz. His controversial approach has also won him many detractors who are leading figures within the republican party such as Mitt Romney.

There is some doubt as to whether or not Trump can reach the 1,237 delegates he requires in order to secure the republican nomination, should he not pass this magic number then a contested convention awaits.

Wisconsin is the next state to go to the polls and it looks like a tight race.


Marquette Poll 

March 24-28, Sample Size 471, Margin of Error 5.8%

Ted Cruz            40%
Donald Trump     30%
John Kasich       21%

Optimus Poll

March 22-24, Sample Size 6182, Margin of Error 1.1%

Donald Trump    31%
John Kasich      29%
Ted Cruz           27%

Emerson Poll 

March 20-22, Sample Size 439, Margin of Error 4.6%

Ted Cruz          36%
Donald Trump   35%
John Kasich     19%

Wisconsin Republican Poll GOP April 1 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

The Republican race continues to be a highly charged and controversial affair. Donald Trump in particular has made headlines, first his campaign manager Corey Lewandoski was charged with one count of simple battery in connection to an incident with Breitbart reporter Michelle Fields.

Trump, not content with only one controversy per week, then ploughed headlong into the ever delicate topic of abortion, suggesting that there should be "some form of punishment" for women who undergo the procedure, although he later clarified that "The doctor or any other person performing this illegal act upon a woman would be held legally responsible, not the woman".

Ted Cruz, seemingly jealous of the massive media coverage that politically incorrect Trump is enjoying, decided to fight fire with fire and on the Jimmy Kimmel Live show jested "If I were in my car and getting ready to reverse and saw Donald in the backup camera, I’m not confident which pedal I’d push". Although it was clearly said in tone of joking, it will do nothing to calm the increasingly toxic republican race, in which Kasich takes a calm approach while Cruz and Trump trade blows and accusations, in which even their wives have been fair game.

According to polls in the state of Wisconsin there is still everything to play for.

The RealClearPolitics average of polls indicates the following percentages

Ted Cruz          34.8%
Donald Trump   31.8%
John Kasich     22.5%

Although an optimus poll with a very high sample size (6182)  and 1.1% margin of error provided the following results

Donald Trump  31%
John Kasich    29%
Ted Cruz         27%
Undecided       13%

Ted Cruz Republican GOP Polls April 1 2016

During a turbulent campaign in which Donald Trump has dominated, Ted Cruz has positioned himself as the main challenger to the charismatic real estate mogul.

The Texas Senator currently trails by almost 300 delegates, however some doubt has emerged as to whether Trump can obtain the 1,237 delegates he requires in order to win the nomination. The prospect of a contested convention looms large upon the horizon and this threatens to highlight big divides within the party.

Cruz has recently backtracked on his pledge to support the nominee saying I'm not in the habit of supporting somebody who attacks my wife and attacks my family" before adding "Listen, I think nominating Donald Trump would be an absolute trainwreck"

Wisconsin polling

Marquette Poll 

March 24-28, Sample Size 471, Margin of Error 5.8%

Ted Cruz            40%
Donald Trump     30%
John Kasich       21%

Optimus Poll

March 22-24, Sample Size 6182, Margin of Error 1.1%

Donald Trump    31%
John Kasich      29%
Ted Cruz           27%

Emerson Poll 

March 20-22, Sample Size 439, Margin of Error 4.6%

Ted Cruz          36%
Donald Trump   35%
John Kasich     19%

New York Republican Poll March 31 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

A new Optimus poll taken in the state of New York shows that Donald Trump continues to dominate in the state. The survey taken between March 22-24 shows that Trump has 50% support, compared to 24% for Kasich and 16% for Cruz.

New York is seen as a vital state to win due to the fact that it awards 95 delegates and Trump will hope to make off with most or all of them in order to keep his hopes alive of reaching the 1,237 delegates he requires to win the Republican nomination.

A previous poll had shown Trump with an even bigger lead on 64%

Wisconsin Republican Polls GOP March 31 2016

Lately the republican primary campaign has been rocked by a number of scandals that have made it even more unpredictable than it previously was.

A new poll coming out of the state of Wisconsin which votes on April 5 shows that there is a tight three way race taking place in the northern state.

Optimus Poll (sample size 6182, Margin of error 1.1%, conducted March 22-24)

Donald Trump    31%
John Kasich      29%
Ted Cruz           27%

Following the Primary in Wisconsin the next state to vote will be New York with 95 delegates to be won there in a winner-take-most format.

Republican GOP Polls March 31 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

There are just 5 days remaining until republican voters go to the polls in the Wisconsin Primary.

Hitherto Donald Trump has been dominating the primaries, winning a total of 21 contests while his nearest competitor Ted Cruz has won 9. Meanwhile John Kasich won in his home state of Ohio, claiming that following that victory "It`s a whole new race".

Polls last month showed Donald Trump with a large lead in the state however new voter surveys conducted within the last few days give us a better idea of how the race has progressed following the suspension of Marco Rubio`s campaign.

An Emerson Poll of 439 likely voters with a margin of error of 4.6% conducted between March 20-22 shows the following numbers.

Ted Cruz         36%
Donald Trump  35%
John Kasich    19%

An Optimus Poll with a very high sample of 6182 and margin of error of 1.1% shows a very close race between the three candidates.

Donald Trump   31%
John Kasich     29%
Ted Cruz          27%

Clinton vs Cruz National Polls March 30 2016

In under 8 months time, Americans will vote on who they think their next president should be. Hillary Clinton is currently the frontrunner on the Democratic side and Donald Trump on the Republican side, there is however certain speculation as to whether or not he will obtain the 1,237 delegates he requires in order to secure the nomination.

If we take a hypothetical match up between Clinton for the democrats and Ted Cruz for the Republicans the polls indicate the following percentages.

RealClearPolitics Average (16-22 March)

Hillary Clinton   46.7%
Ted Cruz          43.8%

The polls currently indicate that Kasich would be the republican candidate that would do best against Clinton although it looks almost impossible that he can win the nomination.

Republican GOP Polls March 30 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

Wisconsin is next up and the republican candidates will do battle here in a winner-take-all contest.

According to the latest polls Ted Cruz has closed the gap on Donald Trump within the last month, probably due to some candidates dropping out. Kasich has also jumped 11 points since the departure of Marco Rubio from the contest.

Emerson (20-23 March, 439 likely voters, Margin of Error 4.6%)

Ted Cruz         36%
Donald Trump  35%
John Kasich    19%

It is difficult to predict who the winner in this state will be and just a few percentage points can make a difference given that Wisconsin is a winner-take-all state and has 42 delegates up for grabs.

Clinton vs Trump Polls March 30 2016

As the Democratic and Republican primaries roll on, the two frontrunners are Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

Should these two end up being the candidates for the presidential election there is little doubt that a controversial campaign would await us.

According to the latest average of polls on RealClearPolitics (Conducted between March 16-22) Clinton has a significant lead

RealClearPolitics Average

Hillary Clinton    50.0%
Donald Trump    38.8%

If remains to be seen if these results would be born out in the November election or even if Clinton and Trump will be the candidates running for office.

Wisconsin Republican Polls GOP March 30 2016

According to the latest polls Ted Cruz has closed the gap on Donald Trump within the last month, probably due to some candidates dropping out. Kasich has also jumped 11 points since the departure of Marco Rubio from the contest.

Emerson (20-23 March, 439 likely voters, Margin of Error 4.6%)

Ted Cruz         36%
Donald Trump  35%
John Kasich    19%

It is difficult to predict who the winner in this state will be and just a few percentage points can make a difference given that Wisconsin is a winner-take-all state and has 42 delegates up for grabs.

Corey Lewandoski Arrested and Charged : March 29 2016

Corey Lewandoski, Donald Trump`s campaign manager has been arrested and charged with 1 count of simple battery.

According to police records Lewandoski grabbed the arm of Breitbart reporter Michelle Fields against her will.





Details to follow...

Republican Polls GOP March 29 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

Republican Polls within the last few weeks show that the battle between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz is intensifying.

In the state of Wisconsin which is the next state to go to the polls on April 5 a new Emerson poll has showed that Trump and Cruz are neck and neck, this is a marked change from a poll in February which showed Trump with a big lead.

The poll shows Cruz on 36% just above Trump who obtained 35% and Kasich in third with 19%.

In New York however the situation is very different with Donald Trump in an extremely powerful position, leading with 64% of the vote, Cruz on 15% and Kasich on just 1%.

In New York a total of 95 delegates are up for grabs, making it a vital stop on the election campaign.

New York Latest Republican GOP Polls March 29 2016

On April 19 the state of New York will go to the polls in a Republican Primary that may well set the trend for the remaining states.

As we enter the home straight, every state is of utmost importance, even more so in New York where a large amount of delegates (95) are on offer.

Polls show former reality TV star and real estate mogul Donald Trump with a substantial lead over his competitors.

The latest poll in New York shows the Following

Emerson Poll (14-16 March)

Donald Trump  64%
Ted Cruz      12%
John Kasich    1%

As of Today (March 28) the delegate count is as follows

Donald Trump   739
Ted Cruz       465
John Kasich    143

In order to obtain the Republican nomination it is necessary to reach 1,237 delegates, it would appear that Donald Trump is the only one who has a chance of doing so, although it`s equally possible that he may fall just short of the magic mark.

Wisconsin Republican Poll GOP March 28 2016

Two new polls appear to show that Ted Cruz has gained an advantage on Donald Trump in the state of Wisconsin. The northern state goes to the polls on April 5 with a total of 42 delegates on offer.

An Emerson poll conducted between march 20-22 had Ted Cruz on 36%, leading Trump on 35% and Kasich in third with 19%. In addition to this a Free Beacon poll has Cruz with an even greater lead, Cruz polled 36% with Trump on 31% and Kasich on 21%.

Compare this with a poll from Marquette in February which showed Trump leading Cruz by 30-19 although this was at a time that Rubio was still in the race.

It will be interesting to see who wins in this state, just a few weeks before New York goes to the polls.

Republican GOP Polls March 28 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

The next states that go to the polls in the republican primaries are Wisconsin and New York.

Wisconsin votes on April 5 and a total of 42 delegates are available.

A new Emerson poll shows Ted Cruz with a slight advantage, although this is well within the margin of error.

Ted Cruz      36%
Donald Trump  35%
John Kasich   19%

Wisconsin being a winner-take-all state means that just a few per cent can make the difference.

In New York an Emerson poll conducted between march 14-16 shows Trump with a massive lead.

Donald Trump 64%
Ted Cruz     12%
John Kasich  9.5%

New York is a winner-take-most state.

Wisconsin Democratic Primary 2016 Date

The Wisconsin Democratic Primary will take place on April 5 and 86 delegates are available. It is the only state that goes to the polls on this day and therefore will likely garner a great amount of attention.

The race for the nomination in the democratic party has been very intense, with Clinton facing off against Bernie Sanders, who is presenting a type of politics not seen in the United States.

A self confessed Democratic Socialist, Sanders argues that the top 1% has obtained all the wealth and argues for a tax on Wallstreet speculation. He has built his campaign on bringing greater socialism to the USA, such as free college and universal healthcare.

Wyoming Democratic Primary 2016 Date

Wyoming will vote in the Democratic Primaries on April 9. There are 14 delegates available and it will be the only state that goes to the polls on this day.

The results here will not be definitive in the democratic race, however a victory here would be a great boost to the winning candidate just 10 days ahead of the vital primary in New York.

Clinton is currently leading in the delegate count and looks the more likely to triumph, however Bernie Sanders has won a number of the most recent contests, in Alaska, Hawaii and Washington for example.

Washington Democratic Exit Polls March 26 2016

Washington goes to the polls today in an open caucus to vote for the preferred candidate for the democratic nomination.

Clinton is currently the favorite to win the nomination given her lead in the delegate count, if Sanders wishes to keep his hopes alive then the coming states are must win for him.

The caucus beings at 10am and anybody who will be 18 by November 8, 2016 and affirms that they are a democrat will be able to vote.

As soon as the first results are available they will be published on this site.

Hawaii Democratic Exit Polls March 26 2016

Hawaii goes to the polls today in the Democratic Primaries.

These elections will take on the format of Semi Closed Caucus and Bernie Sanders will be looking to make up some ground on Hillary Clinton as he is currently trailing by a rather large margin.

Current delegate count (March 25)

Hillary Clinton    1,690
Bernie Sanders  946

Both Alaska and Washington have caucuses on the same day and it will be interesting to see how the results unfold due to the fact that not much polling has been done in these states.

As soon as the first results start coming in, they will be published here.

Alaska Democratic Caucus Exit Polls March 26 2016

Today Saturday 26 March Alaska votes in the Democratic Primary process.

Up until now Hillary Clinton has been leading by a significant amount in the delegate count despite an auspicious start to the campaign by democratic socialist Bernie Sanders. Most analysts believe that Clinton is nearing the nomination and it would take an incredible comeback if Sanders were to wrestle it away from her.

The Caucus begins at 10am and it will be the chance for Alaska Democrats to make their voice heard as regard to who they want to represent the party in the presidential election.

As soon as the first results are available they will be published here.

Republican Polls GOP March 25 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

New polling data has emerged that shows Donald Trump continuing to dominate in key states ahead of the final few months of Republican Primaries.

Trump, who is considered to be somewhat of a maverick by many in the party has shocked all of the pundits by winning state after state and now leads the delegate count by a significant amount.

Whether or not he can obtain the 1,237 delegates required to secure the nomination remains to be seen, however out of the 3 candidates who are left, he looks the most likely to do so.


Wisconsin (Marquette Poll 2/18-2/21)

Donald Trump  30%
Ted Cruz         19%
John Kasich      8%


New York

Donald Trump  54.5%
Ted Cruz         11.5%
John Kasich      9.5%


California

Donald Trump   31.5%
Ted Cruz          21%
John Kasich     17.5%

California Republican Primary Delegates 2016

California will vote in the Republican race on June 7, there are 172 delegates available, which is the most of any state and they are awarded in a winner-take-all format.

Polls conducted in recent weeks show the following results

RealClearPolitics Average (3/6-3/15)

Donald Trump   33.7%
Ted Cruz          23.0%
John Kasich     16.3%

Should the same results play out on primary day then it will be a massive boost for current frontrunner and businessman Donald Trump.

California is a winner-take-all state meaning whoever gets the most votes, takes all the delegates.

Republican Polls GOP March 24 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

On Tuesday Ted Cruz won Utah and such was the scale of his victory there, that he took all of the 40 delegates in the state.

Donald Trump achieved a substantial victory in Arizona and obtained 58 delegates in the state.

The current delegate count as of March 24 is the following:


Donald Trump  739
Ted Cruz         465
John Kasich    143

The next state to vote is Wisconsin where Trump always holds a significant lead over nearest challenger Ted Cruz. According to a Marquette poll conducted in February.

Donald Trump  30%
Ted Cruz         19%
John Kasich      8%

Wisconsin is a winner-take-all state and 42 delegates are on offer for whoever comes out on top.

Wisconsin Republican Polls March 24 2016

The next state to vote in the Republican Primaries is Wisconsin. On April 5 the northern state will go to the polls in an open primary that awards a total of 42 delegates.

Whoever wins the contest will take 100% of the delegates and according to polls conducted in the last few months, it`s once again Donald Trump who has the advantage.

A Marquette poll conducted between 2/18-2/21 showed that the charismatic and controversial businessman has 30% of the vote with his nearest rival being Ted Cruz on 19% followed by John Kasich on 8%.

The next state to vote after Wisconsin will be New York on April 19 with 95 delegates available.

Democratic Polls March 24 2016 Clinton Sanders

As the democratic primary process rolls on Hillary Clinton is in the ascendancy as demonstrated by the delegate count, leading with 1,681 delegates while Sanders has only 937.

The next states to go to the polls are Alaska, Hawaii and Washington.

There is not much polling date available from these states, a poll was conducted in Alaska a few months ago suggesting a slight edge for Clinton.

These three states go to the polls on March 26 and will be a vital step towards who will become the democratic nominee to face the republican candidate in November.

Wisconsin Republican Primary 2016 Date

The Wisconsin Republican Primary is scheduled to take place on April 5, it will no doubt garner much attention due to the fact that it is the only state to go to the polls on that day and comes two weeks before the key state of New York.

Whoever emerges with the most votes will take all of the 42 delegates that are on offer in the state, due to the fact that it incorporates a winner-take-all format.

The candidate that ends up winning will no doubt receive an important boost to his campaign as we enter the final few months of voting.

Currently Donald Trump is winning, however there is some doubt as to whether he can obtain the 1,237 delegates he requires in order to make sure of the nomination.

New York Republican Primary 2016 Date

New York is of utmost importance in the Republican Race for the nomination due to the fact it has a significant population and thus many delegates are on offer, a total of 95 to be exact.

The New York Primary is closed and adopts the winner-take-most format.

Hitherto Donald Trump`s progress has been arresting, winning state after state despite most analysts at first considering that his run for the White House was a joke or a mere publicity stunt.

A recent poll showed him at 64% in New York, well above Ted Cruz on 12%, although other polls have showed him polling slightly lower, it would be significant if he broke through the 50% barrier as he would win all the 95 delegates on offer.

The primary in New York takes place on April 19.

Republican Polls GOP March 23 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

Donald Trump continues to surge in the polls despite not having the backing of many influential figures in the Republican Party.

He is leading in many states but there is still doubt as to whether he will reach the all important delegate count of 1,237 in order to secure the nomination.

Here are the latest polls in some key states.


Wisconsin (Marquette Poll 2/18-2/21)

Donald Trump  30%
Ted Cruz         19%
John Kasich      8%


The following are the RealClearPolitics Averages of the latest polls conducted

New York

Donald Trump  54.5%
Ted Cruz         11.5%
John Kasich      9.5%


California

Donald Trump   31.5%
Ted Cruz          21%
John Kasich     17.5%

Pennsylvania Republican Polls GOP 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

Pennsylvania goes to the polls on April 26 and 71 delegates are awarded in the state in a winner-take-all format.

The Republican race continues to be a highly contested affair, with Donald Trump leading in terms of delegate count but many leading figures within the party publicly disowning him.

According to the RealClearPolitics average of polls between 2/13-3/2 Trump has the advantage.

Donald Trump  28.5%
Ted Cruz         16.5%
John Kasich     13%

It is worth noting that Marco Rubio obtained 18.5% in the poll and it is unknown how these votes will end up being distributed but many commentators think that Kasich has the most to gain from Rubio`s exit.

Terrorist Attacks in Belgium (Video and Photos) March 22 2016

Terrorists have once again struck at the heart of a European capital. Explosions thought to be from suicide bombers ocurred at both the Brussels Airport in Zaventem and also the Maalbeck metro station.

At least 34 people are dead and 198 injured in the two attacks which seem to have caused considerable damage in both locations.

Belgium Primer Minister Charles Michel earlier tweeted "We are following the situation minute by minute. The absolute priority is for the victims and people who were at the airport."

Belgium has now heightened it`s security level to 4, and is on the highest possible alert and many other european countries swiftly followed suit

Utah Results Republican Caucus March 22 2016

The Utah Caucuses are taking place today in what is considered a vital contest in order to pick the republican candidate that will contest the Presidential Election against either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders.

A shock new poll released within the last few days shows that Ted Cruz has made substantial progress in the state, which is home to a large Mormon community.

A new poll released in the last few days show Cruz with 53% of the vote, followed by Kasich on 29% while Donald Trump surprisingly is languishing in third place with a mere 11%.

It will be interesting to note if these numbers are repeated when the results start coming in, especially due to the fact that if Cruz exceeds 50% of the vote then he will obtain all 40 delegates from the state.

Utah Republican Exit Polls March 22 2016

Utah goes to the polls today in what is seen as a vital contest within the Republican race.

Out of 17 candidates that started in the race only 3 remain, businessman Donald Trump, Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Ohio Governor John Kasich.

If we take one of the latest polls from the state we see strong support for Ted Cruz,

Ted Cruz         53%
John Kasich     29%
Donald Trump   11%

Many commentators have highlighted that Donald Trump, despite high polls numbers in the majority of states, doesn`t do very well with very religious mormons who instead throw their support behind Ted Cruz.

As soon as the first exit polls start coming in their will be published live here.

Wisconsin Republican Poll GOP 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

A poll conducted by Marquette in February shows that Donald Trump has been able to sneak ahead in the northern state.

297 likely voters were surveyed and 30% of them chose Trump as their preferred candidate, with 20% for Rubio (Who has since suspended his campaign) Cruz at 19% and Kasich at 8%.

It remains to be seen what effect Rubio`s retirement from the race with have on the polling numbers, many analysts believe his vote with go in large part to Kasich, making him a bit more competitive in states where he has been languishing way off the frontrunners Trump and Cruz.

Wisconsin goes to the polls on April 5 and there are 42 delegates on offer, awarded on a winner-take-all basis.

Arizona Republican Poll GOP March 22 2016

The next stops in the arduous republican campaign are the states of Arizona and Utah.

If we focus specifically on Arizona which is a winner-take-all state and has 58 delegates available we can see that according to the latest polling Donald Trump is the favorite to be victorious here.

RealClearPolitics Average (3/7-3/11)

Donald Trump   34%
Ted Cruz          21%
John Kasich     12.5%

Should Trump win in Arizona it will be a very important step on his quest to obtain the 1,237 delegates and secure the nomination of the Republican Party.

Arizona Republican Exit Polls March 22 2016

We are currently awaiting the first results from the state of Arizona in the Republican Primary.

According to recent polling Donald Trump is once again the favorite to win, it`s another vital state for him if he wants to keep his hopes of reaching the magic 1,237 delegates alive.

Arizona has 58 delegates that are awarded in a winner-take-all format which increases the importance of winning the state.

As soon as the first indications come in from the exit polls they will be published live here.

Arizona Republican Poll GOP March 21 2016

Arizona goes to the polls on March 22 and as a winner-take-all state, it is of vital importance.

Given the state of play in the republican race, the 58 delegates available in Arizona could go a long way towards deciding the final outcome.

Often at this stage of a campaign most of the republican establishment figures will have thrown their support behind one candidate in particular and the outcome will be a forgone conclusion. This time however, given that the favorite and current frontrunner, businessman Donald Trump is such a polarizing candidate, many in the party are actually plotting in order to deny him the nomination.

The RealClearPolitics average of polls indicates the following percentages in Arizona

Donald Trump   34%
Ted Cruz          21%
John Kasich     12.5%

Should these numbers materialize on the day of the election then Trump will make off with the 58 delegates and be one step closer to the 1,237 that he requires in order to secure the nomination outright. We will have to wait and see.

Utah Republican Poll GOP March 21 2016

A new poll coming from the state of Utah today shows that Ted Cruz is dominating and Donald Trump floundering.

According to the poll conducted by Y2 Analytics between March 17-19 of 500 likely caucus goers by telephone, Ted Cruz obtained a massive 53% of the preferences followed by Kasich on 29% and Trump on 11%.

Should this result materialize on caucus day then it would be very significant, given that breaking the 50% barrier would entitle Cruz to all of the state`s 40 delegates.

Currently Donald Trump is leading in terms of delegates with 678 followed by Cruz on 423 and Kasich on 143, it remains to be seen whether or not the charismatic businessman can obtain the 1,237 delegates needed to secure the nomination and avoid a brokered convention.

Republican Polls GOP March 21 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

The Republican race to become the party`s nominee for the presidential elections in 2016 is hotting up. It would now appear that there are only two possible outcomes to the primaries, that Trump reaches the 1,237 he requires and becomes the party`s nominee, or he doesn`t and in that case a contested convention awaits.

Here we will leave you with the latest polls in Arizona and Utah, the next states to vote.

Arizona March 22 (RealClearPolitics Average)

Donald Trump 34%
Ted Cruz        21%
John Kasich   12.5%

Utah March 22 (Y2 Analytics)

Ted Cruz          53%
John Kasich      29%
Donald Trump   11%

New York Poll Republican GOP March 2016

In the state of New York Donald Trump has a massive lead according to new polls. The real estate mogul has 64% of the vote with Ted Cruz on 12% and John Kasich on 1%.

Many commentators had hitherto been of the opinion that Trump would not be able to garner above 50% of the support in any one state. The new poll conducted by Emerson College conclusively proves that 50% is not his ceiling and he can dominate the vote even in a three man race.

It remains to be seen whether or not these polling numbers will be repeated on the day of the primary but it would be hard to see him losing the state from such a dominant position.

The poll took place between March 14- March 16 and included 298 likely voters with a margin of error of 5.6%.

Predictions Utah Republican GOP 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

The Utah Republican Presidential Caucus is swiftly approaching and 40 vital delegates are up for grabs. The question is, who will triumph in the state?

Not much polling has been done here but at the beginning of January a poll of 415 likely republican voters showed a four way split between Rubio 15%, Cruz 18%, Trump 17% and Carson 15%. After the withdrawal of Rubio and Carson from the race it is now likely to be a battle between Cruz and Trump although Kasich is likely to see his percentage rise from the 1% he was polling earlier in the year.

Ted Cruz should win the state rather easily as Mormon voters who consider themselves very religious tend to shy away from voting for Trump. Many commentators have noted this trend which could wreck any hopes the business mogul has for a victory here.

Predictions Republican Primary Arizona 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

The people of Arizona will go to the polls on March 22 in the Republican Primary.

Often at this stage of the campaign most support has consolidated around one candidate in particular and it`s evident who the eventual nominee will be. However, this year the possibility of a contested convention looms large.

In fact there appear to be only two possible outcomes at this point, a Trump win (Meaning he obtains the 1,237 delegates in order to secure the nomination) or a contested convention in which in all likelihood Trump would be denied the nomination.

According to polling in Arizona Donald Trump has the upper hand and should win the state and thus secure the 58 delegates in the winner-takes-all format.

Trump Poll California March 2016 Republican GOP

A new poll coming out of the state of California shows Republican candidate Donald Trump with a significant lead.

Trump polled 38.3% of the vote followed by 22.4% for Cruz and 19.7% for Kasich. Rubio had 10.1% of the preferences but has since suspended his campaign, 9.6% of the voters were undecided.

Should this poll be accurate then it would represent a big change from January when Ted Cruz had a slight advantage.

California is a winner-take-all state that will go to the polls on June 7 and has 172 delegates available.

Can Donald Trump win the Republican Nomination 2016 ?

Donald Trump, the real estate mogul that has tapped into an undercurrent of anger in republican voters who are disillusioned with the establishment, continues to dominate the race to become the party`s nominee.

On the third super Tuesday of the campaign Trump was victorious in 4 of 5 states, accumulating a large quantity of delegates.

It remains to be seen whether or not he will obtain the necessary 1,237 delegates in order to secure outright the nomination or if we will see a brokered convention.

As of today (March 17) the delegate counts are as follows

Donald Trump   673
Ted Cruz          411
John Kasich     143

What do you think? Can Trump obtain the 1,237 delegates that he needs or are we heading for a contested convention?

Delegate Count Republican GOP March 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

So it was a hectic March 15 in which Donald Trump emerged triumphant but missed out on winning Ohio, losing to Governor John Kasich. Marco Rubio suspended his campaign shortly after the results in Florida were announced thus narrowing the field to 3.

The current delegate count (March 16) for each candidate is as follows

Donald Trump   646
Ted Cruz          397
John Kasich     142


On March 22 Arizona and Utah will go to the polls with 98 delegates up for grabs between the two states.

In Arizona there are 58 delegates are awarded on a winner-take-all basis and the latest polling shows Donald Trump with a substantial lead on 37.3% compared to Ted Cruz on 23.3%.

Utah employs the caucus format and there are 40 delegates awarded in a winner-take-most format.

Republican Poll GOP March 17 2016 Arizona

A new poll conducted of republican primary voters in the state of Arizona shows Donald Trump with a commanding lead. 751 people were polled and the results make for good reading for the real estate mogul and current republican frontrunner.

Trump is at 37.3% followed by Cruz on 23.2% and John Kasich at 14.6%. The margin of error is 3.57%

The state of Arizona is yet another vital contest in what has become an increasingly fractured republican race, with it looking like no candidate will reach the magic 1,237 delegates required to win the nomination. 58 delegates will be awarded in a winner-take-all format.