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Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Indiana Republican Polls GOP April 27 2016 Trump, Cruz






Voters in the state of Indiana will finally have their opportunity to express their opinions over which republican primary candidate best represents their views when they go to the polls on May 3.

The state, which comes late in the primary process and would usually be of little importance, has now been brought to centre stage, given the delicate nature of the race.

There are a total of 57 delegates that will be on offer and the state adopts a winner-take-all approach to their allocation. Meaning that whoever wins will walk away with 100% of the delegates.

According to the latest RealClearPolitics Average (April 18-22) it is Donald Trump who is making the running in the state, although his lead is not as impressive as it has been in some states. The businessman is at 39.3% followed by Cruz 33% and Kasich 19.3%.

Should Trump be victorious here then he will certainly maintain his hopes of obtaining the 1,237 delegates alive.

Monday, April 25, 2016

Delaware Exit Polls Republican Primary April 26 2016






This Tuesday 5 states will go to the polls as the Republican Primary season nears its conclusion.

Hitherto it has been a hectic campaign, with Donald Trump sparking numerous controversies and annoying the establishment. He looks set to continue doing it, as according to polls he is ahead in all 5 states that vote today and looks set to win them all.

In Pennsylvania however, there are a total of 71 delegates available but 54 of them are unbound, meaning that Trump could win the state handily but only receive 17 delegates.

A new poll by Gravis conducted between April 17-18 showed Trump on 55%, followed by John Kasich with 18% and Cruz in third place with 15%.

As soon as the first exit polls and results are available they will be published here.

Rhode Island Exit Polls Republican Primary 26 April 2016





The tiny state of Rhode Island is often overlooked in Primary Campaigns, both due to its size and also the late date of voting here. This year however things are a little different, every delegate counts and so there is more focus on the state than there would usually be.

Recent polls have shown that Donald Trump is firmly in the lead in this state with anywhere between 38-61%. There are 19 delegates available in the state which are allocated in a proportional manner.

It would appear that Trump has a very good chance of winning in all 5 states as polls show him ahead in all of them. Should this happen he will definitely keep alive his hopes of obtaining the 1,237 delegates that are needed in order to confirm the nomination.

As soon as the first exit polls and results are available for the state of Rhode Island, they will be published here.

Connecticut Exit Polls Republican April 26 2016





The scene is set, as the Republican Primary season reaches its defining moments, uncertainty is swirling around the entire process. It is not yet sure if any candidate can reach the 1,237 candidates required in order to bag the nomination. In fact the only one left who can really do it, is businessman Donald Trump.

If no candidate ends up reaching the number of delegates that are needed, then the convention with be contested, until we finally have a winner.

Connecticut is not normally associated with a great deal of attention during the primaries, due to its small size and the fact that it votes late on in the process. This year however, it has taken on greater importance due to how tight the race has become.

As soon as the first exit polls and results are known, they will be published here.

Maryland Exit Polls Republican April 26 2016






The last few weeks have been rather hectic in the Republican Primaries, with Ted Cruz winning in Utah, Wisconsin and Colorado. However, businessman Donald Trump had his revenge in New York winning almost all of the available delegates.

In the midst of this, John Kasich continues in the race, despite having won only one state and seemingly having no chance of repeating his victory in Ohio.

Things are now perfectly poised going into yet another "Super Tuesday" on April 26, where a total of 5 states will cast their ballots. If recently polling is to be trusted then it is once again Trump with the upper hand, leading by vast margins in most of these areas.

As soon as the first exit polls and results are available they will be published here.

Exit Polls Pennsylvania Republican April 26 2016





Today the great state of Pennsylvania will be the setting for a Republican Primary of great importance.

The current state of the race is very uncertain with Donald Trump now the only candidate who can realistically reach the 1,237 delegates required in order to secure outright the nomination. However, if he fails to reach this mark then it will go down to a Contested Convention, where anything could happen.

Current delegate count

Donald Trump    845
Ted Cruz           559
John Kasich      148

A total of 71 delegates are available in Pennsylvania, however 54 of these are unbound, meaning that the winner of popular vote is only guaranteed 17 delegates, then it will be up to each individual delegate with regards to who to support.

As soon as the first exit polls and results start coming in from Pennsylvania they will be published here.

Republican Polls Connecticut April 26 2016 Trump, Cruz





There hasn`t been a great deal of polling done in the state of Connecticut, maybe due to its small size and late voting date. This year, however, it will be taking on more importance given the current situation in the Republican Primaries.

There have been two recent polls which show a significant lead for Businessman Donald Trump. Similar polls in Pennsylvania, Maryland and Delaware also show the real estate mogul leading heftily. If these trends continue then it is likely to be yet another very good day for Trump.

Latest Polls Connecticut

Quinnipiac (April 12-18) Sample Size 823, Margin of Error 3.4%

Donald Trump     48%
John Kasich       28%
Ted Cruz            19%

Emerson (April 10-11) Sample Size 354, Margin of Error 5.2%

Donald Trump    50%
John Kasich      26%
Ted Cruz          17%

Sunday, April 24, 2016

Donald Trump Speech 25 April 2016





With the republican race hotting up, the 3 candidates will be having a number of events just one day before 5 key states in the north east go to the polls in order to select who they best think can represent them.

Donald Trump in particular has become famous for his explosive speeches to packed crowds. On Monday April 25 he will give two speeches in Pennsylvania, at 4pm at West Chester University and at 7pm at Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza.

With less than 2 months left before the end of the primaries, there is much doubt swirling around the republican nomination. Donald Trump is the only one who can get the 1,237 delegates required in order to secure the nomination. Failing that, it will come down to a contested convention which is likely to be a very chaotic event which threatens to lay bare great divides within the party.

Delaware Republican Polls April 25 2016 Trump, Cruz





Various states in the North East go to the polls to voice their opinions in the Republican Primaries this Tuesday 26 April.

One of those places where voters will finally be able to choose the favored candidate is in the state of Delaware, a place that has traditionally received little attention due to its small size and the fact that it votes at a date when the nomination is usually pretty much confirmed. This year, however, with the race not being as clear cut as previous years and with candidates scrambling to obtain every last delegate possible, Delaware is being focused on more.

Only a few recent polls have been conducted here and they show that Donald Trump has the upper hand.

Emerson Poll (April 10-11), Sample Size 354, Margin of Error 5.2%

Donald Trump    50%
John Kasich      26%
Ted Cruz           17%

Quinnipiac Poll (April 12-18), Sample Size 823, Margin of Error 3.4%

Donald Trump   48%
John Kasich     28%
Ted Cruz         19%

Maryland Republican GOP Polls 25 April 2016 Trump, Cruz






The state of Maryland is due to vote on April 26, with a total of 38 delegates up for grabs. Usually at this stage of the race the competition is pretty much done and dusted, however this year there is a completely different state of affairs which has lead to much more attention being invested in smaller states which vote late in the campaign.

According to updated polling numbers, it is once again Donald Trump who is the frontrunner and looks like the big favorite to notch up yet another important triumph.

Maryland Latest Republican Polls

PPP (April 5-17) Sample Size 310, Margin of Error 5.7%

Donald Trump   43%
John Kasich     29%
Ted Cruz          24%

Monmouth (April 10-12) Sample Size 301, Margin of Error 5.7%

Donald Trump   47%
John Kasich     27%
Ted Cruz          19%

With such a significant lead it would be hard to bet against "The Donald" winning yet another state, although there is much debate about whether he can make it past the magic 1,237 delegates he requires to achieve the nomination.

Donald Trump Republican Delegate Count April 25 2016


As we enter the home straight in the Republican Primary campaign, the delegate count becomes ever more important as we look to see if Donald Trump can obtain the 1,237 that he needs or whether we are headed for a Contested Convention.

The system of delegate allocation differs from state to state which makes it very hard to make projections but one thing we do know, Cruz and Kasich have no chance of making it past the finish line before the Convention. This of course leaves two possibilities, a Trump victory or a Contested Convention.

The latest delegate count as of today April 24 according to AP is as follows

Donald Trump    845
Ted Cruz           559
John Kasich      148

This means that Trump requires 392 of the remaining delegates in order to secure the nomination. Many of the establishment figures within the Republican Party have publicly stated that even if Trump is just short, the rules must be followed and a Contested Convention awaits us.

Pennsylvania Republican GOP Polls April 25 2016 Trump, Cruz





There are only two days left for campaigning before 5 states go to the polls in the Republican Primaries on Tuesday.

There have already been many ups and downs for the candidates in the last few months, however it has been Donald Trump who has enjoyed more high points than his competitors.

He is currently leading the delegate count by a significant amount as of today (April 24) according to AP

Donald Trump    845
Ted Cruz           559
John Kasich      148

The state with most delegates that votes on Tuesday April 26 is Pennsylvania, although there are a total of 71 delegates available in the state, 54 are unbound, meaning they are not obligated to vote for the winner of the Primary.

Latest Polls Pennsylvania

Franklin & Marshall Poll (April 11-18) Sample Size 549, Margin of Error 4.9%

Donald Trump   40%
Ted Cruz          26%
John Kasich     24%

CBS News/YouGov Poll (April 13-15) Sample Size 837, Margin of Error 4.8%

Donald Trump  46%
Ted Cruz         26%
John Kasich    23%

Saturday, April 23, 2016

Republican Polls GOP Pennsylvania April 23 2016 Trump, Cruz






After a thumping win for Donald Trump in New York all eyes are now on the next 5 states to go to the polls on April 26. Yet another Super Tuesday will bring out republican and Democrat voters in the states of Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Delaware and Connecticut.

The big question now is whether or not Trump can repeat his success which on Tuesday saw him win a total of 89 delegates out of a possible 95.

If polls are anything to go by then Trump has a very good chance of winning the popular vote in Pennsylvania and Maryland, the other states are somewhat a mystery due to the fact that no reliable polling has been done recently in these areas.

As regards to Pennsylvania the RealClearPolitics average (April 4-18) has Trump at 43.8% followed by Cruz in second place with 24.6% and Kasich in third with 23.6%.

Maryland shows a very similar story with the businessman on 41% but Kasich edging out Cruz for second place with 26.3%, the Texas Senator comes in third with 24.5%

Should these numbers play out on election day then Trump has a very good chance of pushing closer to the 1,237 delegates he requires to win the nomination, however, in Pennsylvania a total of 54 delegates are unbound, so conceivably he could win with a majority of the popular vote but still be way behind in terms of delegate allocation in the state.

Maryland Republican GOP Polls April 23 2016 Trump, Cruz






Maryland will go to the polls next Tuesday in the Republican Primary which comes at a vital moment during the campaign trial.

Following the Primary in the key state of New York where real state mogul Donald Trump triumphed in spectacular fashion, winning at least 89 delegates out of a total of 95.

If we take the republican polls for the Maryland Primary there is a clear indication that the businessman is greatly favored in the state, which adopts a winner-take-all allocation.

Latest Polls Maryland

PPP (April 5-17) Sample Size 310, Margin of Error 5.7%

Donald Trump   43%
John Kasich     29%
Ted Cruz          24%

Monmouth (April 10-12) Sample Size 301, Margin of Error 5.7%

Donald Trump   47%
John Kasich     27%
Ted Cruz          19%

Tuesday, April 19, 2016

Results Bernie Sanders New York Primary April 19 2016





Bernie Sanders has been the great surprise in the Democratic Primaries this year. Running on a platform of democratic socialism he has attracted massive crowds who say they want to see a fairer society.

Today voters in New York will go to the polls to decide with Democratic candidate best represents their views and values. According to recent polling Hillary Clinton holds a lead over Sanders in the northern state but her advantage has been eroded slightly following a string of Sanders victories since the end of April.

A win for the Senator from Vermont in New York could be an excellent stepping stone going into the next primaries on April 26, when 5 more states will go to the polls and a large amount of delegates are at stake.

In a recent interview Sanders claimed that he believes the superdelegates will begin to defect to his cause as he begins to win more states across the country.

As soon as the first results are available they will be published here.

New York Primary Exit Polls 19/4/2016






Today voters in the state of New York will have the opportunity to voice their opinions on who should represent their party in the 2016 presidential election.

On the Democrat side, Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton will battle it out in a race that is becoming closer than many analysts had at first thought. Excluding superdelegates, who support Clinton in overwhelming numbers and the race is pretty close.

As for the Republicans Donald Trump maintains a healthy lead in the delegate count but it remains to be seen whether or not he will reach the amount that he needs in order to put the nomination beyond doubt.

Recent polling suggest that Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the favorites going into the New York Primary but we will await the first exit polls to have an indication who is winning.

Democratic Exit Polls New York April 19 2016 Clinton, Sanders






The big day has finally arrived, today is the New York Primary for the Democratic Party and we are all anxiously awaiting the dramatic face off between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton.

For months Clinton has been dominating the polls in the northern state, far ahead of Democratic Socialist Bernie Sanders, however in the last few weeks there has been some indications that Sanders may be narrowing the gap. That said, Hillary Clinton remains a strong favorite in the state.

Clinton currently holds a very large lead in the delegate count mainly due to the fact that she was overwhelming support from superdelegates, who can vote whichever way they please, however in a recent interview Sanderes claimed that he was still confident of victory because he believes these superdelegates will change allegiances as he continues to win states across the country.

As soon as the first democratic exit polls are available they will be published here.

Monday, April 18, 2016

Donald Trump Results New York Primary April 19 2016





Donald Trump`s unique style and rhetoric around controversial topics such as immigration has added extra spice to this year`s Republican Primaries. However it has also lead to a deep divide in the party, with some republicans starting a "Never Trump" campaign in which they pledge not to vote for him even if he is eventually chosen as the Party`s nominee.

On the other hand polls show that despite a rather high unfavorability rating, Trump`s core supporters are the most loyal amongst any candidate. This means that whatever the outcome, if Trump turns out being the overall winner in the Primaries, or if he loses in a contested convention despite having obtained more votes, some part of the party will be greatly disenfranchised.

The State of New York goes to the polls today and is seen as a vital test as to whether or not Trump can obtain the delegates he requires. According to recent polls he is a long way ahead of his rivals, Ted Cruz and John Kasich, who are gripped in a tight battle for second place.

As soon as the results are known, they will be immediately published here.

Results New York Exit Polls Trump April 19 2016





Today the state of New York will go to the polls for the Republican and Democratic Primaries in what is sure to be an eventful election.

On the Republican side entrepreneur Donald Trump is the clear favorite heading into the Primary, given that New York is his home state and current polls have him topping 50% of the vote.

Should Trump win by a large margin in all the congressional districts then he has a very good chance of winning the majority of the 95 delegates that the state offers.

Should "The Donald" indeed triumph then it will certainly be seen as a boost for his campaign after resounding defeats in Utah and Wisconsin to Texas Senator Ted Cruz.

When the first exit polls are available they will be published here.

New York Exit Polls Republican GOP 19 April 2016






Today the state of New York will go to the polls for the Republican and Democratic Primaries in what is sure to be an eventful election.

On the Republican side entrepreneur Donald Trump is the clear favorite heading into the Primary, given that New York is his home state and current polls have ahead.

Should Trump win by a large margin in all the congressional districts then he has a very good chance of winning the majority of the 95 delegates that the state offers.

Should "The Donald" win then it will certainly be seen as a boost for his campaign after resounding defeats in Utah and Wisconsin.

Saturday, April 16, 2016

New York Republican GOP Polls April 17 2016 Trump, Cruz





Donald Trump, who is currently leading the Republican Race will face off against Ted Cruz and John Kasich in his home state of New York on April 19. Many commentators see Trump as the massive favourite going into the contest and polls support this conclusion.

In fact such is the businessman`s support in the northern state that the majority of recent polls are showing him easily exceeding 50% of the vote. Should this be reflected in the results and Trump gains the majority of support in all districts then he would win almost all of the delegates that are on offer, a total of 95.

Latest New York Polling

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Maris, April 10-13, Sample Size 313, Margin of Error 5.5%

Donald Trump   54%
John Kasich     25%
Ted Cruz          16%

Optimus, April 11-14, Sample Size 14201, Margin of Error 1.0%

Donald Trump   49%
John Kasich     23%
Ted Cruz          14%


Should "The Donald" secure victory by as large a margin as these polls suggest then it will be a welcome return to winning ways for him, having been soundly beaten in Wisconsin and after Cruz took all of the delegates in Colorado in somewhat controversial circumstances.

Pennsylvania Republican GOP Polls April 17 2016 Trump, Cruz

After a long wait, it will finally be Pennsylvania`s turn to vote in the Republican Primaries and unlike many previous election cycles, this time how the state votes could really affect the course of the race.

So the scene is set for a showdown between the remaining candidates on April 26, when voters from the Keystone State will go to the polls, alongside 4 other states, Delaware, Connecticut, Rhode Island and Maryland. In Pennsylvania there are 71 delegates available.

Polls show Trump ahead a long way in the state, however 54 of the delegates elected in the state are officially unbound and as such are not obligated to pledge support to whoever wins the primary.

Monmouth Poll April 10-12, Sample Size 303, Margin of Error 5.6%

Donald Trump    44%
Ted Cruz           28%
John Kasich      23%

Fox News Poll, April 4-7, Sample Size 802, Margin of Error 3.5%

Donald Trump    48%
John Kasich      22%
Ted Cruz           20%

Maryland Republican GOP Polls April 17 2016 Trump, Cruz





Maryland is one of five states where republican primaries will take place on April 26. Yet another "Super Tuesday" comes at a vital time given the current state of the race, with no candidate yet close to the 1,237 required delegate count, it appears that a contested convention may become a reality.

Businessman Donald Trump, who has run his campaign with the now famous slogan "Make America Great Again" is the only one who could realistically obtain enough delegates to become the nominee on the first vote. However recent loses in Utah, Wisconsin and Colorado mean that the contested convention is looking more and more likely.


The latest numbers from Maryland indicate the following percentages


Monmouth Poll, April 10-12, Sample Size 301, Margin of Error 5.7%

Donald Trump    47%
John Kasich      27%
Ted Cruz           24%

FreeBeacon/TargetPoint, April 8-10, Sample Size 600

Donald Trump    33%
Ted Cruz           26%
John Kasich      25%

There are 38 delegates in Maryland Awarded on a winner-take-all basis.

UK EU Referendum Poll 16 April 2016






A new average of the last 6 polls that have been conducted run by Natcen Social Research shows that the leave and remain camps are tied at 50-50.

In the last few weeks there has been a steady increase in support for the UK leaving the European Union and this new information confirms that this trend is continuing. The referendum to decide Britain`s future with regards to the EU will take place on June 24 and there is no doubt that we are in for a few months of vigorous campaigning before the vote.

With the migrant crisis and terrorist attacks on European soil, many British voters believe it is best to leave the EU and regain full national sovereignty while others argue that there would be serious economic costs for leaving and it would be best to stay.

A poll conducted between March 24- April 4 shows the following

YouGov poll March 24-April 4, Sample Size 3,754 

Remain      39%
Leave         38%
Undecided  18%

Friday, April 15, 2016

Delaware Republican Primary Polls April 16 2016 Trump, Cruz





The Delaware Primary will take place on April 26 alongside 4 other states, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Maryland and Connecticut.

Depending on how the results go, these elections could give us a much clearer idea about about whether Donald Trump can win the nomination or if we are headed for a contested convention.

Trump will definately need to do well if he wants to keep his chances of reaching the 1,237 delegate mark alive. He now needs to win 60% of the remaning delegates in order to achieve this.

Although Delaware is one of the smaller states going to the polls, with only 16 delegates on offer, with a republican race coming down to the wire, every delegate counts.

No reliable polling has been conducted in the state which employs a winner-take-all format but recent polls show Trump leading by impressive margins in New York, Pennsylvania and Maryland.

Republican Polls GOP Maryland April 16 2016 Trump, Cruz





The Maryland Republican Primary comes at a vital point in the race. Donald Trump is leading according to the latest polls with Ted Cruz and John Kasich in a close battle for second place.

RealClearPolitics Average (March 30-April 12)

Donald Trump    40.5%
John Kasich      26.8%
Ted Cruz           24%

This shows that Trump has a lead of 13.7% with just over a week remaining before the vote takes place.

Maryland is a winner-take-all state which makes it all the more important, especially for Trump who needs about 60% of the remaining delegates in order to secure the nomination, for Cruz that number rises to 90%, making it almost impossible for him to win and as for Kasich there are not enough delegates for him to triumph in the primary contest.

The best chance for Cruz and Kasich is to win enough delegates to stop Trump from reaching the 1,237 delegate mark and to force a contested convention.

Republican GOP Polls Pennsylvania April 16 2016





April 26 will be the date for the Pennsylvania Primary when voters will make their choice as to which Republican candidate best represents their views.

A mere 3 candidates remain in the race out of the original 17. It would appear that Donald Trump is the only one who can obtain the 1,237 that are needed, however if he fails to achieve that, then a contested convention looms.

There are a total of 71 delegates on offer in the Keystone State and it is one of five that will go to the polls on this date.

The current RealClearPolitics average shows a clear trend towards Trump

RealClearPolitics Average (March 29-April 12)

Donald Trump   43%
Ted Cruz          27.2%
John Kasich     23.8%

New York Republican GOP Polls April 16 2016 Trump, Cruz






There is now less than a week left until the republican primary in New York. It is the only state that votes on April 19, which makes sure that it will receive a large amount of media attention.

Donald Trump has won the most states hitherto, however his momentum has been arrested somewhat by Ted Cruz victories in Utah and Wisconsin, as well as Colorado where Cruz won all 34 delegates without a popular vote.

Trump would now need to win 60% of the remaining delegates in order to win the nomination out right going into the Republican Convention held between July 18-21. Should Trump not obtain this amount of delegates then additional votes would be required and delegates would be free to defect to other candidates.

RealClearPolitics has a running average of the latest polls taken within the last few days which show the following percentages.

Donald Trump   53.4%
John Kasich     21.7%
Ted Cruz          17.6%

Thursday, April 14, 2016

Maryland Republican GOP Polls April 15 2016 Trump, Cruz

Maryland goes to the polls on April 26. Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and John Kasich will face off in what will no doubt be an eventful day as the Old Line State votes on the same day as Pennsylvania, Delaware, Rhode Island and Connecticut.

There are 38 delegates available and according to polls in the state Donald Trump has a significant lead.

RealClearPolitics Average (March 30-April 12)

Donald Trump    40.5%
John Kasich      26.8%
Ted Cruz           24.0%

In order for Trump to pass the magic 1,237 mark he would have to win 60% of the remaining delegates, Cruz would have to win roughly 90% of remaining delegates and as for Kasich it is mathematically impossible for him to reach 1,237.

If no candidate reaches this amount then there will be a contested convention in Cleveland.

New York Republican GOP Polls April 15 2016 Trump, Cruz

New York is Donald Trump`s home state and as such he is expected to do very well here when voters go to the polls on April 19.

There are only 3 candidates remaining on the Republican side out of a total of 17 who started on the campaign trial. Only Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and John Kasich are left in the race and they will now compete for the 95 delegates that New York offers.

The latest 3 polls in New York are as follows:

Siena Poll April 6-11, Sample Size 469, Margin of Error 5.0%

Donald Trump    50%
John Kasich      27%
Ted Cruz           17%

Quinnipiac Poll April 6-11, Sample Size 550, Margin of Error 4.2%

Donald Trump    55%
John Kasich       20%
Ted Cruz           19%

NBC/WSJ/Marist April 6-10, Sample Size 259, Margin of Error 6.1%

Donald Trump    54%
John Kasich      21%
Ted Cruz           18%

Should Trump win 1,237 delegates then he will secure the nomination for the Republican Party and if not, then a contested convention looms. Many commentators believe that a contested convention will be total chaos and various votes will be needed in order to decide who the nominee will be.

Wednesday, April 13, 2016

Republican Maryland GOP Polls April 14 2016 Trump, Cruz

The state of Maryland will go to the polls in the Republican Primary on April 26 along with 4 other states. Connecticut, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania and Delaware will vote on the same day which will be vital going into the home straight on the Republican campaign trail.

There are 38 delegates available in the state and according to the latest polls, Donald Trump has the upper hand.

Monmouth Poll April 10-12, Sample Size 301, Margin of Error 5.7%

Donald Trump   47%
John Kasich     27%
Ted Cruz          19%

NBC 4, Marist Poll April 5-9, Sample Size 368, Margin of Error 5.1%

Donald Trump   41%
Ted Cruz          29%
John Kasich     24%

Republican Pennsylvania GOP Polls April 14 2016 Trump, Cruz

The state of Pennsylvania will vote on April 26 in the Republican Primary and there are 71 delegates up for grabs. Extra spice has been added to the campaign after in Colorado all the 34 delegates in the state where awarded to Ted Cruz without a popular vote.

As we enter the final straight, the question is whether or not Trump can reach the 1,237 delegates he requieres in order to secure the nomination.

Polling from Pennsylvania indicates that Trump has a significant lead over his two adversaries, Ted Cruz and John Kasich

Fox News Poll (April 4-7) Sample Size 802, Margin of Error 3.5%

Donald Trump     48%
John Kasich       22%
Ted Cruz            20%

Morning Call (April 1-6) Sample Size 360, Margin of Error 6.0%

Donald Trump     37%
Ted Cruz            29%
John Kasich       28%

Quinnipiac (March 30-April 4) Sample Size 578, Margin of Error 4.1%

Donald Trump     39%
Ted Cruz            30%
John Kasich       24%

Republican Polls GOP April 14 2016 Trump, Cruz

The count down to the New York Primary has begun, there is now less than a week before people in the state go to the polls to choose between the three remaining candidates. It is looking more and more like we are headed for a contested convention, especially since Ted Cruz triumphed in Wisconsin and now Colorado.

According to polls businessman turned politician Donald Trump is ahead in the two key states of New York and Pennsylvania by large margins.

New York RealClearPolitics Average

Donald Trump   53.6%
John Kasich     21%
Ted Cruz          18.6%

Pennsylvania RealClearPolitics Average (March 29-April 7)

Donald Trump   42.8%
Ted Cruz          27%
John Kasich     24%

In New York there are a total of 95 delegates that will be awarded and in Pennsylvania 71 delegates.

New York Republican GOP Polls April 14 2016




The Republican Primary season is reaching crunch point as various key states go to the polls. Defeats for frontrunner Donald Trump in Wisconsin and Colorado have lowered expectations that Trump will obtain the 1,237 delegates he requires and thus heightening the possibility of a contested convention.

Cruz took all 34 delegates in the state of Colorado which has a complex system and a popular vote didn`t take place, invoking the fury of Trump, "This was a political hack deal, like so much of our country. This is what our country's all about I guess" he complained.

The next state that will go to the polls is New York, where Trump is expected to do well. In his campaign events in the state he has been relentlessly attacking Cruz for a comment he made in one of the televised debates where he said Trump represented New York Values, which was done with "scorn" according to the businessman.

Trump has repeatedly railed against what he views as a corrupt system, which has earned him some powerful enemies from within the establishment, spawning a movement of republicans who call themselves "Never Trump" indicating they will not vote for the real estate mogul, even in the general election.

New York RealClearPolitics Average

Donald Trump   53.6%
John Kasich     21%
Ted Cruz          18.6%

Pennsylvania RealClearPolitics Average (March 29-April 7)

Donald Trump   42.8%
Ted Cruz          27%
John Kasich     24%

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Republican Polls Pennsylvania April 13 2016 Trump, Cruz




The Pennsylvania Primary will take place on April 26 and a total of 71 delegates will be awarded. The state is one of 5 where voters will cast their ballot on this date, alongside Delaware, Maryland, Rhode Island and Connecticut.

Current polls indicate that Republican frontrunner Donald Trump has the upper hand in the Keystone State.

RealClearPolitics Average March 29-April 7

Donald Trump   42.8%
Ted Cruz          27%
John Kasich     24%

Pennsylvania is designated as a winner-take-all state and as such takes on a great importance for all the candidates.

The current delegate counts as of April 13 are as follows (1,237 delegates required to secure nomination) Source AP

Donald Trump   742
Ted Cruz          545
John Kasich     143

New York Republican GOP Polls April 13 2016





After 3 months of what can only be described as a hectic Republican Primary process, we now head to New York.

On April 19 New Yorkers will cast their vote, choosing between the three remaining candidates, Donald Trump, Ted Cuz and John Kasich, being Trump`s home state he is expected to do very well and this is being born out by the latest polls which have him well ahead of his two adversaries.

The recent controversy in Colorado over how delegates are awarded has left many republican voters there infuriated and has only served to add extra spice to the campaign. The state, which has a complicated process for allocating delegates, awarded all 34 to Cruz. Trump couldn`t contain his frustration with the system and lashed out stating "This was a political hack deal, like so much of our country. This is what our country's all about I guess". Every victory for Cruz seems to edge us closer to a contested convention, which would be interesting to say the least.

In New York, however, even with a full week to go until the election, it seems almost impossible to imagine how anyone other than Trump has a chance of winning. The current RealClearPolitics average (March 29-April 10) has the real estate mogul on 53.6%, Followed by Kasich on 21% and 18.6% for Cruz.

Should these numbers hold then Trump has a very good chance of winning the majority of the 95 delegates that New York has on offer.

Monday, April 11, 2016

Predictions Republican Primary New York 2016 Date


The next important date in the Republican Primary calendar is April 19, when New York goes to the polls. Texas Senator Ted Cruz has achieved some important victories in the last few primaries in Wisconsin and Utah, while Donald Trump took Arizona.

Taking a look at the latest polls Trump has a solid lead over Cruz and Kasich.

Fox News, April 4-7, Sample Size 602, Margin of Error 4.0%

Donald Trump   54%
John Kasich     22%
Ted Cruz          15%

Emerson April 6-7, Sample Size 321, Margin of Error 5.4%

Donald Trump   56%
Ted Cruz          22%
John Kasich     17%

Monmouth April 3-5, Sample Size 302, Margin of Error 5.6%

Donald Trump   52%
John Kasich     25%
Ted Cruz          17%

Were Trump to win in New York by a significant margin then he would take the majority of the 95 delegates in the state.

Democratic Polls April 12 2016 Sanders, Clinton

The next stop on the Democratic Primary campaign is New York, where polls show that Hillary Clinton has the advantage. She currently leads Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders by 54-40, a significant lead no doubt, however the gap between the two contenders has tightened since the end of March.

Polls at the end of March showed Clinton leading by more than 30 points, however, following a string of Sanders Victories it would appear that his campaign has gathered momentum.

A few of the latest polls

Fox News April 4-7, Sample Size 801, Margin of Error 3.5%

Hillary Clinton    53%
Bernie Sanders  37%

Emerson April 6-7, Sample Size 325, Margin of Error 5.4%

Hillary Clinton    56%
Bernie Sanders  38%

CBS News/YouGov March 29-April 1, Sample Size 718, Margin of Error 5.0%

Hillary Clinton    53%
Bernie Sanders  43%

Quinnipiac March 22-29, Sample Size 693, Margin of Error 3.7%

Hillary Clinton    54%
Bernie Sanders  42%

There are 247 delegates available in the state in what is seen as a vital test of support as we reach the final straight in the Primary season.

Republican Polls GOP April 12 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

All eyes are on New York, which is the next state which goes to the polls in the Republican Primaries on April 19. There are currently only 3 candidates left out of 17 who were originally competing for the nomination, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and John Kasich.

New York is Trump`s home state and he is expected to do extremely well here, which is fortuitous for him given that a total of 95 delegates will be awarded in the state.

The current RealClearPolitics average shows the following percentages

Donald Trump      53.5%
John Kasich        21%
Ted Cruz            18.8%

If this results were to hold true in every single congressional district then Trump would obtain almost all of the delegates in the state of New York and receive a timely boost in his quest to reach the 1,237 delegates he requires.

Following Trump`s hefty defeat in Wisconsin to Texas Senator Ted Cruz there has been a certain amount of debate swirling around as to whether or not Trump is losing momentum, a resounding victory in New York would once again serve to dispell this notion and galvantize his supporters.

New York Republican GOP Polls 12 April 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich

The next stop in the Republican Primary race will be the state of New York, where businessman Donald Trump is expected to do well.

Following a resounding defeat to Texas Senator Ted Cruz in Wisconsin, "The Donald" will be eager to get his campaign back on track with a return to winning ways in his home state.

There are a total of 95 delegates up for grabs in the state and they are awarded in a winner-take-most system.

The RealClearPolitics Average of polls currently indicates a big lead for Trump

RealClearPolitics Average

Donald Trump      53.5%
John Kasich        21%
Ted Cruz            18.8%

Trump is also currently leading in the delegate which of April 12 is as follows

Donald Trump   743
Ted Cruz          545
John Kasich     143

Friday, April 8, 2016

New York GOP Republican Polls April 9 2016 Trump, Cruz






The focus in the Republican Primary race has now shifted to New York, which is the next state to vote on April 19. New York is considered one of Donald Trump`s main strongholds and the numbers are currently indicating this is without doubt the case.

Polls have been surprisingly consistent showing Trump at just over 50% of the vote.

Monmouth poll 3-5 April, Sample Size 302, Margin of Error 5.6%

Donald Trump    52%
John Kasich      25%
Ted Cruz           17%

CBS News/YouGov 29 March-1 April, Sample Size 657, Margin of Error 5.6%

Donald Trump    52%
Ted Cruz           21%
John Kasich      20%

Quinnipiac March 22-29, Sample Size 457, Margin of Error 4.6%

Donald Trump    56%
Ted Cruz           20%
John Kasich      19%

Republican GOP Polls April 9 2016 Trump, Cruz






Following a massive victory for Ted Cruz in Wisconsin the next stop on the Republican campaign trail is New York.

Donald Trump who is based in New York has a massive amount of support in the state and it would be almost inconceivable to see him being beaten here, it all depends now on the margin of victory.

In Trump`s latest events he has been doubling down on a moment in the debates when Cruz criticized New York Values.

A new poll out within the last few days shows Trump well out in front with Kasich and Cruz a distant second and third.


Monmouth poll 3-5 April, Sample Size 302, Margin of Error 5.6%

Donald Trump    52%
John Kasich      25%
Ted Cruz           17%

Shooting at Lackland Air Force Base Texas April 8 2016 Photos





According to reports from various news outlets there has been a shooting at Lackland Air Force Base in Texas and "victims" have been reported. RT is reporting at least 2 people have been killed.

It appears to be have been a murder-suicide.

Details to follow..

Wednesday, April 6, 2016

New York Republican GOP Polls April 7 2016 Trump, Cruz

On Tuesday Texas Senator Ted Cruz scored a crushing win in the State of Wisconsin, picking up 48.2% of the vote, compared with 35.1% for Donald Trump. John Kasich came in third with 14.1%.

This now makes it even harder for Trump to obtain the 1,237 delegates that he requires in order to be confirmed as the Republican Partys nominee.

According to AP the current delegate count is now as following:

Donald Trump    743
Ted Cruz           517
John Kasich      143

Now all eyes will be on New York, which is the next state to vote on April 19, as a winner-take-most state, delegates are awarded on a proportional basis, unless a candidate secures more than 50% of the vote and in these case takes all of them.

The latest polls in New York show Trump with a commanding lead.

CBS News/YouGov Poll March 29-April 1, Sample Size 657, Margin of Error 5.6%

Donald Trump    52%
Ted Cruz           21%
John Kasich      20%

Quinnipiac Poll March 22-29, Sample Size 457, Margin of Error 4.6%

Donald Trump    56%
Ted Cruz           20%
John Kasich      19%

Pennsylvania Polls GOP Republican April 7 2016 Trump, Cruz

The state of Pennsylvania goes to the polls for the republican primary on April 26, there are 71 delegates available and according to the latest RealClearPolitics Average, businessman Donald Trump is leading by a wide margin.

RealClearPolitics Average, Pennsylvania

Donald Trump    39.7%
Ted Cruz           26.3%
John Kasich      25.3%


There is some doubt as to whether or not Trump will be able to reach the 1,237 delegates that are required in order to secure the nomination. If he is to do so, he will definately have to do well in Pennsylvania.

Four other states also go to the polls on the same day, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland and Rhode Island.

Tuesday, April 5, 2016

Who is Winning in Wisconsin 5 April 2016

We are currently awaiting the first results for the State of Wisconsin in the Republican and Democratic Primaries.

Wisconsin is the only state that goes to the polls today and as such has garnered a great amount of attention.

According to the latest polls for the Republican side, Ted Cruz has an advantage over businessman Donald Trump, the polls on the Democrat side indicate an advantage for Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders.

The first results are expected later tonight and as soon as they are available they will be published here.

Exit Polls Wisconsin Democratic 5 April 2016 Sanders, Clinton






Today Wisconsin goes to the polls in the Democratic Primary, with Bernie Sanders taking on Hillary Clinton in what is likely to be an enthralling contest.

According to the latest average of polls on the site RealClearPolitics, Sanders has a slim advantage over Clinton, leading her by 47.9%-45.3%, winning by 2.6%.

There are 86 delegates up for grabs on voting day and Sanders will be looking to narrow the gap between him and the former First Lady and Secretary of State, as Clinton has a handy advantage in the current delegate count.

Much of Clinton`s lead comes from Superdelegates who opt to support her instead of Sanders, however in a recent interview, Sanders said he believes some of the Superdelegates will start coming over to his side, should he start winning more states.

Monday, April 4, 2016

Exit Polls Republican Wisconsin April 5 2016 Trump, Cruz




The big day has finally arrived, it has been a long time since the last republican primaries on March 22 but today Wisconsin goes to the polls.

On the Republican Side, which started out with 17 candidates has now been wittled down to only 3, businessman Donald Trump, Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Ohio Governor John Kasich.

According to polls conducted within the last week, Ted Cruz is leading Donald Trump but as we know, the only poll that matters is the one that takes place on election day.

As soon as the first results are available they will be published here.

Trump Results Wisconsin April 5 2016




Today the electorate of Wisconsin will go to the polls to choose between the 3 remaining candidates.

Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and John Kasich will compete in the remaining states and according to the latest polls in the Badger State the real battle will be between Trump and Cruz.

Emerson Poll (March 24-April 3) Sample Size 569, Margin of Error 4.1%

Ted Cruz         40%
Donald Trump  35%
John Kasich    21%

Most polls conducted within the last week show Cruz with a 1-10% lead over Trump and Kasich in third place.

Sunday, April 3, 2016

Ted Cruz Polls April 4 2016 Wisconsin





Ted Cruz is up in the state of Wisconsin according to the latest polls.

CBS News/You Gov Poll, March 29-April 1, Sample Size 675, Margin of Error 5.7%

Ted Cruz          43%
Donald Trump   37%
John Kasich     18%

Fox Business Poll, March 28-30, Sample Size 742, Margin of Error 3.5%

Ted Cruz          42%
Donald Trump   32%
John Kasich     19%

Tomorrow voters from in the Badger State will have the opportunity to select their favored candidate in the Republican race and as the only Primary taking place, it has earned a lot of media attention.

Prior to the last few weeks businessman Donald Trump was leading here, however Cruz appears to have benefited from the departure of Marco Rubio from the race and recent controversies.

Whoever wins will take all 42 delegates and in what is sure to be a dramatic day.

Donald Trump Polls April 4 2016 Wisconsin





The latest polls show Donald Trump in trouble in Wisconsin, having fallen behind Ted Cruz, however "The Donald" as he is known by his supporters, maintains a strong lead in the state of New York, which has its Primary on April 19.

The more urgent concern for Trump is winning in Wisconsin and he probably would have counted on doing so until the last week or so. Ted Cruz has been gradually extending his lead and looks to be the favorite, although the pollsters have gotten it wrong various times during the current campaign.

RealClearPolitics Average indicates the following for Wisconsin

RealClearPolitics Average (March 24-April 1)

Ted Cruz         40.2%
Donald Trump  33.4%
John Kasich    18.6%

Trump`s popularity in New York however seems to be imperious

New York RealClearPolitics Average (March 22-April 1)

Donald Trump  53.3%
John Kasich    21,3%
Ted Cruz         19%

Republican Polls GOP 4 Abril 2016 Wisconsin





With only one day remaining until the electorate in Wisconsin goes to the polls to vote in the Republican Primary, it is decision time.

For months real estate mogul Donald Trump had been leading in the state, however, new polls suggest that he has now been eclipsed by Ted Cruz since other competitors have withdrawn from the race.

If we examine the RealClearPolitics average from March 24 through April 1 we can see clearly that Cruz has the advantage

RealClearPolitics Average (March 24-April 1)

Ted Cruz         40.2%
Donald Trump  33.4%
John Kasich    18.6%

Should Ted Cruz win in the northern state then he will obtain 42 delegates for his efforts.

Friday, April 1, 2016

Donald Trump Polls April 2 2016, Wisconsin, New York







Donald Trump, the real estate mogul that has sparked controversy in this year`s republican race, continues to do well according to polls, although there are some indications that he is behind Texas Senator Ted Cruz in the state of Wisconsin.

Latest Polls Wisconsin

Fox Business Poll (March 28-30) Margin of Error 3.5% Sample Size 742

Ted Cruz          42%
Donald Trump   32%
John Kasich     19%

PPP (March 28-29) Margin of Error 3.5% Sample Size 768

Ted Cruz          38%
Donald Trump   37%
John Kasich     17%

In New York however it`s a totally different story with Trump dominating

Latest Polls New York

Liberty Research Poll (24-26 March) Margin of Error 3.0% Sample Size 1796

Donald Trump   55%
John Kasich     22%
Ted Cruz          19%

Quinnipiac Poll (22-29 March) Margin of Error 4.6% Sample Size 457

Donald Trump   56%
Ted Cruz          20%
John Kasich     19%

In New York 95 delegates are available and it is a winner-take-most state.

Republican Polls April 2 2016 Trump, Cruz, Kasich






There are now only 3 competitors left in the republican race, businessman Donald Trump, Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Ohio Governor John Kasich.

The 3 men will now do battle in the remaining primaries, starting with Wisconsin on April 5 where 42 delegates are on offer in a winner-take-all format.

Donald Trump has been leading in the polls for months in the state although following the suspension of Marco Rubio's campaign the race seems to have tightened and many polls have Ted Cruz leading.

Fox Business Poll (March 28-30) Margin of Error 3.5% Sample Size 742

Ted Cruz          42%
Donald Trump   32%
John Kasich     19%

PPP (March 28-29) Margin of Error 3.5% Sample Size 768

Ted Cruz          38%
Donald Trump   37%
John Kasich     17%

Republican Polls GOP April 2 2016 Wisconsin





Donald Trump took to the stage for yet another event in this long primary season. "The Donald" touched down in Appleton Wisconsin and talked to the crowds that had gathered at the Radisson Paper Valley Hotel in order to hear him speak.

According to the latest polls from the state of Wisconsin Texas Senator Ted Cruz has begun to gain the upper hand and now leads Donald Trump.


RealClearPolitics Average (19-30 March)


Ted Cruz         36.5%

Donald Trump  32.7%

John Kasich    21%

Should these numbers be repeated on election day then Cruz will take the 42 delegates in the state due to the fact that Wisconsin is a winner-take-all state.

The next state to vote after Wisconsin will be New York where 95 delegates are available and polls show Trump with a massive lead.